Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large-level central zone, after reaching the high of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, from the 2273 high, a divergence top-down move completed a downward stroke, now in a rebound correction phase after a decline, no new upward structure formed; on the 15F level, weakening simultaneously, from the 2273 high completed a full downward stroke, currently in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Cycle Structure Judgment
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: A large-level central zone oscillation structure since the 2385.78 high, after a rally to 2273, entering a pullback phase at the upper boundary of the central zone, overall still a large-level oscillation, no trend reversal yet.
Key evolution: Price fell back from the 2273 high, retesting support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the central zone, if unable to break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the central zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle Rhythm)
Structural characterization: The 1H upward stroke initiated from the 1936.54 low, with a clear divergence at the 2273 high, currently in a downward stroke after an upward move + rebound correction, part of the downward momentum has been released, rebound strength is weak.
Key evolution: Corresponds to the high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after an upward move, if the rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue downward, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle Details)
Structural characterization: The 15F strong upward stroke from the 2058.01 low, with a divergence at the 2273 high, then a complete downward stroke, currently in a secondary rebound after a decline, part of the internal rebound of the 1H downward stroke, a continuation structure of the decline.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue downward, testing 2160-2170; if a strong breakout occurs, it will trigger a bottom formation on the 1H, opening a new upward stroke.
3. Key Resistance and Support
Table: 4H 2230-2250 (previous high + upper boundary of central zone), 2150-2160 (previous central zone upper boundary, top-bottom reversal point), 1H 2220-2230 (strong resistance during rebound), 2160-2170 (target of 1H downward stroke), 15F 2200-2210 (first resistance during rebound), 2170-2180 (support of 15F downward stroke)
4. Future Trend Projection
Strong continuation (low probability): 15F rebound strongly breaks 2230, driving 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward stroke, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Response: Do not chase longs, wait for a pullback to stabilize before making decisions, avoid opening shorts against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, continuing the 1H downward stroke, testing support at 2160-2170, after completing the correction, then choose direction.
Response: Wait for the 1H downward stroke to complete and bottom pattern to be established before considering longs; if rebound is weak, consider shorting at resistance zones 2220-2230.
Deep correction (neutral probability): 1H downward stroke directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Response: Follow the trend for high short positions, avoid bottom fishing, wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Ideas and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs, do not blindly open shorts: 1H is in a correction cycle, 15F is in rebound continuation, neither side has absolute advantage, prioritize observation.
Short opportunities: wait for 15F rebound to 2220-2230 resistance zone, divergence + 1H structure resonance, then attempt short, stop-loss above 2250.
Long opportunities: wait for 1H downward stroke to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, retest support at 2160-2170, then consider longs, stop-loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: max 2 trades per day, first loss triggers daily stop, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control first: high leverage trading must strictly stop-loss, do not hold positions overnight or add to positions, prioritize capital protection.
6. Summary
The current market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, do not stubbornly bet on longs or shorts, only take confirmed opportunities that fit your trading system, control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop-loss. This is the key to long-term survival.
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