Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large-level central zone, after reaching the high of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, from the 2273 high, a divergence-driven decline wave was completed, and the current phase is a rebound correction after the decline, without forming a new upward structure; on the 15F level, weakening occurs simultaneously, completing a full decline wave from the 2273 high, now in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Analysis
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: Since the high of 2385.78, a large-scale central zone oscillation structure has been in place. After a rally to 2273, the price entered a pullback phase at the upper boundary of the central zone. Overall, it remains a large-scale oscillation without trend reversal.
Key evolution: Price fell from the 2273 high, retesting support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the central zone. If it cannot break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle)
Structural characterization: From the low of 1936.54, the 1H upward wave, after reaching the 2273 high and showing clear divergence, is now in a downward wave plus rebound correction phase. The downward momentum has been partly released, and the rebound strength is weak.
Key evolution: Corresponding to the high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after an upward move. If the current rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue the downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle)
Structural characterization: From the low of 2058.01, a strong upward wave on the 15F chart, after completing divergence at the 2273 high, then a complete downward wave was formed. Currently in a secondary rebound phase after the decline, which is an internal rebound within the 1H downward wave, part of a downward continuation structure.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170; if it breaks through strongly, it will trigger a bottom formation on the 1H and start a new upward wave.
3. Key Resistance and Support Levels
| Level | Resistance/Support | Details |
|---------|------------------------|---------|
| 4H | 2230-2250 (Previous high + zone top) | 2150-2160 (Previous zone top, support/turning point) |
| 1H | 2220-2230 (Strong rebound resistance) | 2160-2170 (Target of 1H downward wave) |
| 15F | 2200-2210 (First rebound resistance) | 2170-2180 (Support of 15F downward wave) |
4. Future Market Movement Scenarios
Strong continuation (low probability): If the 15F rebound strongly breaks through 2230, it will drive the 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward wave, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Strategy: Do not chase longs; wait for a pullback and stabilization before making decisions; avoid opening new short positions against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): If the 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward wave, testing support at 2160-2170. After completing the correction, choose direction accordingly.
Strategy: Wait for the 1H downward wave to complete and bottom pattern to be established before considering longs; if the rebound is weak, consider shorting at resistance zones of 2220-2230.
Deep correction (neutral probability): If the 1H downward wave directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Strategy: Follow the trend for short positions; avoid bottom fishing; wait for the correction to fully develop.
5. Trading Ideas and Discipline
No chasing longs or blindly opening shorts at current position: 1H is in a correction cycle, 15F is in a rebound continuation, with no absolute advantage for bulls or bears. Prefer to observe.
Short opportunities: Wait for 15F rebound to 2220-2230 resistance zone, divergence + 1H structure resonance, then attempt short, with stop-loss above 2250.
Long opportunities: Wait for 1H downward wave to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, retest support at 2160-2170, then consider longs, with stop-loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: Max 2 trades per day, first loss triggers daily stop-loss, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control priority: For high-leverage trading, strictly set stop-loss, avoid holding large positions or adding to positions, prioritize capital protection.
6. Summary
The current market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, avoid stubborn longs or shorts, only take high-probability setups that fit your trading system. Control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop-loss—this is the key to long-term survival.
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