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Tonight and the two biggest variables over the weekend to watch:
One is the US March CPI, and the other is weekend US-Iran negotiations / Hormuz passage news.
These two variables will directly determine:
1. Whether gold continues to follow the “safe-haven + USD weakness” logic
or gets pressured by “high inflation = higher interest rates for longer”;
2. Whether crude oil continues to fall further to digest ceasefire expectations
or whether it once again raises the risk of supply disruptions.
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