Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large-level central zone, after reaching the high point of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, a top divergence downtrend was completed from the 2273 high point, now in a rebound correction phase after a decline, no new upward structure has formed; on the 15F level, weakening simultaneously, a complete downtrend was completed from the 2273 high point, currently in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Judgment
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: A large-scale central zone oscillation structure since the 2385.78 high point, after a rally to 2273, entering a pullback phase at the upper boundary of the central zone, overall still a large-scale oscillation, no trend reversal yet.
Key evolution: Price fell back from the 2273 high, testing support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the central zone, if unable to break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle Rhythm)
Structural characterization: The 1H upward move initiated from the 1936.54 low, with a clear top divergence at the 2273 high, currently in a downward move after an upward move + rebound correction, part of the downward momentum has been released, rebound strength is weak.
Key evolution: Corresponds to a high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after an upward move, if the rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue the downward move, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle Details)
Structural characterization: The 15F strong upward move from the 2058.01 low, with a top divergence at 2273.00 high, then a complete downward move, currently in a secondary rebound phase after a decline, internal rebound within the 1H downward move, a continuation structure of the decline.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170; if a strong breakout occurs, it will trigger a bottom formation on the 1H, opening a new upward move.
3. Key Resistance and Support
Table: 4H 2230-2250 (Previous high + upper boundary of central zone), 2150-2160 (Previous central zone upper boundary, support/resistance switch), 1H 2220-2230 (Strong rebound resistance), 2160-2170 (Target of 1H downward move), 15F 2200-2210 (First rebound resistance), 2170-2180 (Support of 15F downward move)
4. Future Trend Projection
Strong continuation (low probability): 15F rebound strongly breaks 2230, driving 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward move, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Response: Do not chase longs, wait for a pullback to stabilize before making decisions, avoid opening shorts against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, continuing the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170, completing the correction before choosing a direction.
Response: Wait for the 1H downward move to complete and bottom pattern to be established before considering longs; if rebound is weak, try short positions at 2220-2230 resistance zone.
Deep correction (neutral probability): 1H downward move directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Response: Follow the trend for short positions, do not bottom fish, wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Ideas and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs, do not blindly open shorts: 1H is in a correction cycle, 15F is in a rebound continuation, neither side has absolute advantage, prioritize observation.
Short opportunity: wait for 15F rebound to 2220-2230 resistance zone, with top divergence + 1H structure resonance, then try short, stop loss above 2250.
Long opportunity: wait for 1H downward move to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, retest support at 2160-2170, then consider longs, stop loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: maximum 2 trades per day, first loss triggers daily stop, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control first: high leverage trading must strictly stop loss, do not hold positions or add positions, prioritize protecting capital.
6. Summary
The current market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, do not stubbornly bet on longs or shorts, only take confirmed opportunities that fit your trading system, control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop loss—this is the key to long-term survival.
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