Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large-level central zone, after reaching the high point of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, from the 2273 high point, a top divergence downtrend was completed, and the current phase is a rebound correction after a decline, without forming a new upward structure; on the 15F level, weakening simultaneously, from the 2273 high point, a complete downtrend was completed, currently in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Judgment
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: A large-scale oscillation structure since the 2385.78 high point, after a rally to 2273, entering a pullback phase along the upper boundary of the central zone, overall still a large-scale oscillation without trend reversal.
Key evolution: Price fell back from the 2273 high, testing support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the central zone; if unable to break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the central zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle Rhythm)
Structural characterization: The 1H upward move initiated from the 1936.54 low, with a clear top divergence at the 2273 high point, currently in a downward move after an upward move + rebound correction, with part of the downward momentum released, and rebound strength relatively weak.
Key evolution: Corresponds to a high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after an upward move, if the rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue the downward move, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle Details)
Structural characterization: The 15F strong upward move from the 2058.01 low, with a top divergence at 2273.00 high, then a complete downward move, currently in a secondary rebound after a decline, internal rebound within the 1H downward move, a continuation structure of the decline.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170; if a strong breakout occurs, it will trigger a bottom pattern on the 1H, opening a new upward move.
3. Key Resistance and Support
Table: 4H 2230-2250 (Previous high + upper boundary of central zone), 2150-2160 (Previous central zone upper boundary, top-bottom reversal point), 1H 2220-2230 (Strong resistance during rebound), 2160-2170 (Target of 1H downward move), 15F 2200-2210 (First resistance during rebound), 2170-2180 (Support for 15F downward move)
4. Future Trend Projection
Strong continuation (low probability): 15F rebound strongly breaks through 2230, driving 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward move, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Response: Do not chase longs, wait for a pullback to stabilize before making decisions, avoid opening shorts against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, continuing the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170, completing the correction before choosing a direction.
Response: Wait for the 1H downward move to complete and the bottom pattern to be established before considering longs; if rebound is weak, consider short positions at 2220-2230 resistance zone.
Deep correction (neutral probability): 1H downward move directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Response: Follow the trend for short positions, avoid bottom fishing, wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Ideas and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs, do not blindly open shorts: 1H is in a correction cycle, 15F is in a rebound continuation, with no absolute advantage for bulls or bears, prioritize observation.
Short opportunity: wait for 15F rebound to 2220-2230 resistance zone, with top divergence + 1H structure resonance, then attempt short, with stop loss above 2250.
Long opportunity: wait for 1H downward move to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, support at 2160-2170 tested and stabilized, then consider longs, with stop loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: maximum 2 trades per day, first loss triggers daily stop, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control first: high leverage trading must strictly stop loss, do not hold positions or add positions, prioritize capital protection.
6. Summary
Currently, the market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, do not stubbornly bet on longs or shorts, only take confirmed opportunities that fit your trading system, control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop loss—this is the key to long-term survival.
#交易复盘 #ETH #缠论实战 #交易纪律 #风控为王 # Multi-timeframe resonance