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CMB International: Raises Weichai Power H-share target price by 39%, Maintains "Buy" rating
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ZhaoYin International releases a research report stating an upward adjustment of Weichai Power (02338) H-shares target price by 39.3%, from HKD 21.9 to HKD 30.5, while also raising the target price for A-shares (000338.SZ), both maintaining a “Buy” rating. The firm believes that short-term stock price pullbacks are a good buying opportunity.
Weichai’s net profit in 2025 unexpectedly declined by 4% to RMB 10.9 billion, below the consensus expectations of the firm and institutions by 12%. This means that net profit in Q4 2025 will decrease by 32% year-on-year to RMB 2 billion. The decline in Q4 profit is mainly attributed to a 3.9 percentage point decrease in gross profit margin year-on-year, which the firm believes is primarily related to a drop in engine profit margins. Despite the weaker performance, the firm remains optimistic about Weichai’s strategic shift toward the power business (by 2025, power-related engine sales will account for 14%, up from 12% in 2024).
The firm has raised its 2027 profit forecast by 3.5%, mainly due to upward revisions in engine sales and heavy truck profit margin forecasts. The target price increase is primarily due to raising the core business EV/EBITDA multiple to 11 times from 7 times, to reflect strong growth including the planned entry into the U.S. market with AIDC backup power engines.