Predicting Market Beginners Must Read: Gate One-Click Participation, Polymarket Operation Steps, and Hot Event Recommendations

In the crypto world of 2026, the narrative is quietly shifting. As traditional spot and derivatives trading enters a battle of dwindling supply, prediction markets—with their distinct event-driven logic—are becoming a new engine for attracting users and capital.

Prediction-market giant Polymarket has recently seen explosive growth. As of April 7, 2026, the combined trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket has reached $52.7 billion, of which Polymarket contributed $24.3 billion. Monthly nominal trading volume has also surged to nearly $24 billion, up as much as 2,838% year over year. At the same time, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)—the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange—made a $600 million investment in Polymarket in March, signaling that institutional confidence in crypto-native prediction markets is rapidly heating up.

For users who want to join this wave of “event trading,” the biggest obstacle in the past was the cumbersome workflow—needing to register a Web3 wallet separately, transfer USDC across chains, pay Gas fees, and so on. But now, Gate has taken the lead in breaking through this barrier. As the world’s first centralized exchange (CEX) integrated with Polymarket, Gate allows users to participate in global trending event prediction trades with a single click directly in a familiar exchange environment.

Why Polymarket Deserves Attention

Polymarket is currently the world’s largest decentralized prediction market platform. It lets users trade the outcomes of real-world events—from geopolitical conflicts, to cryptocurrency price trends, to sports results and political elections—so that almost any controversial event can find a corresponding prediction contract on the platform.

Unlike the “views” of traditional polls or analysts, the probabilities on Polymarket are determined through a battle of real money—profit if you’re right, but if you’re wrong, you directly incur a loss of funds. This mechanism naturally improves the accuracy of predictions. In fact, the U.S. Federal Reserve has already confirmed in a research report that prediction markets perform “significantly better than Bloomberg consensus expectations.”

The most attention-grabbing recent case is none other than the contracts related to the Iran conflict. In February 2026, the single question “Will the U.S. attack Iran before February 28, 2026?” attracted $73 million in capital, becoming the largest geopolitical contract in Polymarket’s history. As of April 6, the contract “U.S. forces will enter Iran before April 30” has reached a cumulative trading volume of $193 million. These figures clearly show that prediction markets have grown from a niche “geek toy” into a signpost that global capital watches.

Why Choose to Participate in Polymarket on Gate?

Although Polymarket is growing rapidly, its native user adoption barrier has long constrained a breakout in user growth. Users need to register separately, configure a Web3 wallet, and transfer USDC across chains (Polygon network), among other steps—often meaning significant outflows for CEX users, who make up the majority of the market.

With this integration, Gate precisely addresses this pain point and brings three core advantages to more than 51 million users:

1. Seamless direct access to a funding account. Users no longer need to manage complex seed phrases or perform cross-chain bridging. They can directly use USDT from their Gate exchange account to participate in prediction trades, with no additional Gas fees. This experience lowers the barrier to participating in prediction markets to the same level as spot trading.

2. Fusion of dual trading modes. Gate innovatively introduces a dual-architecture design: “Prediction Mode + Trading Mode.” Prediction Mode features a user-friendly interface that clearly shows “Yes/No” probabilities and odds, making it suitable for beginners to get started quickly; Trading Mode provides an order book, candlestick charts, market depth, and limit/market orders to meet professional traders’ strategy needs.

3. Simplified settlement mechanism. After the event is settled, the winning proceeds are automatically exchanged 1:1 into stablecoins and transferred to the spot account, removing the on-chain settlement waiting period and the risk of slippage—delivering “what you see is what you get.”

Complete Steps to Participate in Polymarket on Gate with One Click

Preparation

Make sure your Gate App has been updated to version v8.12.5 or above. This is the minimum version requirement for using the Polymarket integration feature.

Enter the Prediction Market Entry Point

Open the Gate App, and find the “Prediction Markets” entry point on the home page or in the trading section. This entry point is usually located prominently in the feature navigation bar; click it to enter Polymarket’s event list.

Choose the Events You’re Interested In

After entering the page, you’ll see lists of prediction contracts for various trending events, covering multiple areas such as sports, cryptocurrencies, macroeconomics, and political elections.

As of April 7, notable trending events to watch include:

• “Bitcoin Touches $70,000 in April”: The contract’s probability surged to 91% on April 6. Trading volume for this single-event contract has already exceeded $6.435 million. The contract uses a “touch-and-judge” mechanism—if BTC touches the target price at any point during April, it is judged as “Yes,” with a relatively low trigger threshold.
• “U.S. Invades Iran in 2026”: After Trump made remarks on social media, the probability briefly surged to 63%. The contract “U.S. forces enter Iran before April 30” has a cumulative trading volume of $193 million.
• “Trump’s Final Deadline for an Iran Ceasefire”: Investors believe the probability of success is only 3%. The related contract’s real-time trading volume has already exceeded $103 million.

In addition, Polymarket also offers other hot events such as “April WTI crude oil price touches $120” (current probability 77%) and “Another $100 million+ crypto hacker attack before year-end” (probability 57%).

Choose Prediction Mode

On the specific event page, you can switch between “Prediction Mode” and “Trading Mode”:

• Prediction Mode: Suitable for beginners. The interface intuitively displays the probabilities and corresponding odds for “Yes” and “No.” Click the relevant option to place an order quickly.
• Trading Mode: Suitable for experienced users. Offers multiple order placement methods such as an order book, candlestick charts, and limit/market orders, supporting more fine-grained strategy execution.

Place an Order and Confirm

Taking “Prediction Mode” as an example:

• Choose the outcome you think will happen (“Yes” or “No”)
• Enter the USDT amount you want to invest
• The system will automatically display potential payout (if your prediction is correct)
• Confirm the order and complete the payment

The entire process is almost identical to the spot trading experience, with no on-chain operations or additional fees.

Wait for Settlement and Receive Payout Automatically

Once the event result is determined, the system will automatically settle. If your prediction is correct, your proceeds will be automatically exchanged 1:1 into stablecoins and transferred to your spot account. The whole process requires no manual steps.

Optional Path to Participate Using a Web3 Wallet

If you want to maintain decentralized interactions, Gate also provides a Web3 mode access option. Users can use a decentralized wallet to participate in predictions using USDC on the Polygon network. This dual choice makes the integration flexible and suitable for different types of users.

Future Outlook for Prediction Markets

In 2026, prediction markets are experiencing unprecedented explosive growth. With ICE’s $600 million injection, Polymarket’s planned launch of its native stablecoin Polymarket USD within 2–3 weeks, and a comprehensive upgrade of the V2 trading engine, this track is accelerating from an edge area into the mainstream financial system. Messari’s senior analyst even predicts that by 2028, Polymarket’s FDV could reach $111.2 billion under an optimistic scenario.

Summary

For Gate users, now is the best time to step into prediction markets—no need to learn complex Web3 operations, no need to pay additional Gas fees. Just use USDT in a familiar exchange environment to make your own judgment on global trending events.

Of course, prediction markets also involve risks. The outcome is uncertain, and positions may lead to losses—just like traditional trading. Please be sure to participate cautiously based on your own risk tolerance and allocate capital reasonably.