#Gate广场四月发帖挑战 The ongoing conflict in the Persian Gulf is triggering a global financial storm—keep enough cash on hand and wait for the bottom-fishing opportunity.

【Market Overview】
The conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran remains tense, with Brent crude oil rising above $111. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has broken through 100 points, and various financial assets are experiencing increased volatility. Market rumors suggest that old Trump has been hospitalized or even "gone," and the international financial markets are anxious and uncertain as they wait.

【Gold and Silver Performance Remains Stable】Currently, gold and silver still stay above key support levels, with no major issues. From the monthly chart, gold and silver have experienced a significant correction and adjustment after several months of sharp rise. Although this is driven by the US Treasury Department and heavily suppressed by the five major Jewish Wall Street giants, the technical patterns have not deteriorated. If there is another sharp decline, it could be a good opportunity to buy the dip.

【The Biggest Risk Point: Yen Collapse】It must be emphasized again: Will the Persian Gulf war trigger a yen and Japanese government bond collapse, leading to a domino effect on the dollar, US bonds, and US stocks, and spark a century-long global financial storm that has been brewing for over a decade or two? This is a black swan event we must guard against.

【Main Trading Strategy: Keep Enough Cash】Therefore, the current main strategy is very clear: reduce positions on rallies, keep 30%–50% of cash, and wait for the bottom-fishing opportunity brought by this global financial storm. Don’t focus too much on short-term gains or losses; risk prevention is the top priority.

【Gold and Silver Rhythm】Although gold and silver are attractive, the capital invested in them has been highly profitable over the past two years, and liquidity is excellent. During the initial outbreak of a financial crisis, they will first face a fierce sell-off (capital cash-out for survival), potentially dropping 30%–40%, followed by a V-shaped reversal, and then reaching new highs amid global chaos.

Conclusion: Be cautious in the short term, keep enough cash; be optimistic in the long term, with no upper limit.

【Other Assets】International crude oil is highly likely to continue rising, so consider buying on dips. The RMB remains steadily appreciating, and the yen collapse is only a matter of time. Bitcoin is also unlikely to escape this impact. The US Coffee Index is currently at 295, rebounding after four consecutive months of decline, but the medium- to long-term trend remains unclear.

【Ultimate Risk: Global Hyperinflation】Some financial bigwigs warn that after the Persian Gulf war causes oil prices to surge, global inflation will spiral out of control. From the second half of this year to the end of the year, food prices may soar, and next year the world could face hyperinflation. If it comes to this, physical gold and silver will be the best investments.

The above views are personal analyses and do not constitute any investment advice.