A friend of mine recently fell into extreme anxiety and came to talk to me: he feels that all his previous earnings were just luck, hitting the right opportunities at the right time. Now that the wind has stopped, he's especially afraid he won't be able to make money again.

In fact, many people experiencing their first bull market go through this impostor syndrome. But my answer to him was very straightforward: people only need to get rich once.

Many believe that relying on luck to make money feels dishonest or even shameful, but this is a misunderstanding of the underlying logic of the world. There are so many people working tirelessly every day, yet wealth distribution remains extremely cruel—1% versus 99%. Because effort is just the base salary of the game, the huge multiplier that determines the level of wealth is always cycle and luck. Acknowledging this is not to deny the value of effort, but to recognize personal insignificance. Making your first fortune through luck is not shameful; in fact, it’s the only way most super individuals achieve a leap in social class.

The true dividing line has never been about the first bucket of gold, but about how to survive the garbage time. Many people's tragedy is that the money given by luck is often lost due to lack of skill. To prove oneself, some force big bets in areas they don’t understand when there’s no wind. My advice is to switch your mindset to defense and patience, but I know this is very difficult—I took a full six months to align my actions with my thoughts.

Before the next big cycle (luck) arrives, learn some hard skills (like languages, AI tools), and do small things that can compound over time. Find a platform that provides positive feedback, so you feel your life has value. Wait for luck, quietly prepare your sniper rifle, and stay absolutely alert. Stay at the table, wait for the wind to rise again.