Analysis: 84% of traders on Polymarket are in a loss position

MarsBitNews · 2026-04-07T03:41:43+00:00

Mars Finance reports that independent analyst Andrey Sergeenkov's research shows that 84.1% of traders on Polymarket are in loss, with only 2% of traders making profits exceeding $1,000. Most traders participate in the short term, and the likelihood of sustained profitability decreases month by month, with only 2.6% of traders remaining active over the course of a year.

MarsBitNews

2026-04-07 03:41:43

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Mars Finance news, according to The Defiant, independent on-chain analyst Andrey Sergeenkov’s latest research found that 84.1% of traders on Polymarket are currently in a losing position. The report analyzed 2.5 million wallet addresses, and Sergeenkov found that over the past year, only 2% of traders on the platform have accumulated net profits exceeding $1,000, while only 0.033% (i.e., 840 addresses) of traders have earned $100k on the Polymarket platform. “Most traders just come to trade for a while and then leave,” the report concluded. The study found that the probability of earning $5,000 per month declines month by month. Among 6,600 traders with average monthly profits exceeding $5,000, only 2.6% remain consistently active for more than a year.

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