Data: 84% of Traders on Polymarket Are in Loss

AirdropBlackHole · 2026-04-07T03:21:18+00:00

A study by Andrey Sergeenkov revealed that 84.1% of Polymarket traders are at a loss, with only 2% earning over $1,000 profit. The likelihood of consistent monthly profits decreases over time, as most traders quit within a year.

AirdropBlackHole

2026-04-07 03:21:18

Abstract generation in progress

On April 7, independent on-chain analyst Andrey Sergeenkov released a study revealing that 84.1% of traders on Polymarket are currently at a loss. The report analyzed 2.5 million wallet addresses and found that over the past year, only 2% of traders on the platform have accumulated profits exceeding $1,000, and only 0.033% (or 840 addresses) have made profits of $100,000 on Polymarket. ‘Most traders come to trade for a while and then leave,’ the report concluded. The study found that the probability of making a monthly profit of $5,000 declines month by month. Among 6,600 traders who averaged over $5,000 in monthly profits, only 2.6% remained active for more than a year.

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