Hexun Investment Advisor Chen Xiujuan: Sudden New Changes in External Situation, Is the A-Share Rebound Finally Coming?

The sudden change in the offshore situation has left investors sleepless all night. The rebound in A-shares is finally coming.

The first piece of news: Trump and Iran have made good progress in dialogue, delaying the originally planned military strike on Iran by five days. Over the weekend, Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum sharply impacted the Asia-Pacific markets. On Monday, not only did Japanese and Korean stocks plummet, but the A-shares also couldn’t escape unscathed. Since the deadline was Tuesday at 7:44 a.m., funds generally worried about further escalation of the conflict and chose to exit early. After consecutive declines, market sentiment has become extremely pessimistic, with many investors saying they can’t hold on and want to liquidate completely. Just as the market mood was thoroughly broken, Trump suddenly changed his tone in the evening, saying he would postpone the strike. Once this statement was made, global markets instantly reversed: crude oil prices plunged sharply, European and American stocks surged, and the A50 index shot up. Unfortunately, the news was released after the A-shares closed and before the U.S. stock market opened, meaning A-shares effectively lost a day of gains. It truly proves the saying, “Intense analysis like a tiger, rise and fall all depend on old Trump.” Interestingly, right after Trump finished speaking, Iran immediately denied any communication with the U.S., causing the situation to fluctuate again, and some indices retreated. However, as of now, the market continues to rise. Ultimately, as long as the U.S. attitude shifts, it’s good news for market sentiment. The A-shares opening high on Tuesday shouldn’t be a big problem; hopefully, we can see a strong start and a steady rise, allowing investors to recover some losses.

The second piece of news: high-level authorities are vigorously promoting the computing power collaboration project, ensuring that more than 80% of new computing facilities at key nodes use green electricity. The mandatory 80% green electricity requirement means that future data centers must source at least 8 out of every 10 kilowatt-hours from wind or solar power. As the demand for green energy increases, it will boost the green energy operations, wind, solar, and energy storage sectors in the A-shares market. This has a logical energy substitution theme, which has been relatively resilient recently, and the chip structure looks decent. If the market recovers and resonates with this trend, the core direction that hasn’t turned bad is worth focusing on.

Now, let’s discuss the market trend and sector opportunities. Although there was positive news overnight, as long as the conflict isn’t resolved, the sustainability of the rebound remains uncertain, and overall positions should still be carefully managed. Strategically, after a high opening on Tuesday and a rise, if selling pressure becomes obvious, investors looking to bottom fish can consider taking profits at high points and waiting for a pullback to consider low entries. Regarding the direction, attention should be paid to the sectors that resonate during the index recovery—whether funds favor new energy, computing power, or other specific sectors.

(Edited by: Zhang Yan)

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