$BTC More critically, today's decline exhibits these characteristics. The earnings reports have become the last straw that broke the camel's back—not because the reports are that bad, but because the market has no more room for error. Earnings season is fundamentally about two things: expectations and volatility. When expectations have been beaten down to extreme optimism, earnings reports don't need to be terrible—they just need to be not good enough to be treated as negative by the market. When positions are already heavily loaded, earnings reports don't need to trigger a blowup; they just need volatility to pick up for risk management models to force institutions to sell first and ask questions later. Therefore, I'm more inclined to believe today's decline is a passive exit by institutions. Moreover, earnings and returns have already given many institutions sufficient profits. The market going forward may see amplified swings due to earnings reports, especially since gold and silver have already risen significantly, triggering risk controls. Consequently, the first assets to be sold are often not the worst performers, but the most liquid and easiest to sell assets—including stocks, ETFs, gold, and even some mainstream crypto assets that get dumped first.

BTC-2.62%
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