"1011 Insider Whale" Agent: Trump's "Final Ultimatum" Could Trigger a Triple Impact, Including a Surge in Oil Market Volatility

Deep Tide TechFlow News: On March 22, “Insider Whale 1011” agent Garrett Jin posted on X platform that Trump has issued a 48-hour final ultimatum to Iran, demanding the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The situation has clearly escalated. He summarized that this move will bring three key impacts: First, diplomatic buffer has been broken, and the previously low-key negotiations between Iran and Japan over vessel passages may come to an end; Second, the nature of the conflict has escalated. If strikes expand to civilian infrastructure such as power grids, it will strengthen Iran’s stance and increase the likelihood of a prolonged war; Third, oil market volatility has surged, and market mismatches have worsened. Crude oil volatility (OVX) has risen to 93, while the Chicago Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) is about 24. The ratio between the two is close to 4, indicating that oil market risks are far exceeding stock market pricing. Overall, oil prices and market volatility may continue to rise, and the expected duration of the conflict is extended.