Analyst: Fed Rate Decision Approaching, Bitcoin May Face Volatility in the $68,000-$80,000 Range

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-03-17T16:06:14+00:00

Greeks.live macro researcher Adam stated on the X platform that the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision is likely to remain unchanged. Bitcoin is hovering around $74,000, with hawkish signals potentially leading to a retest of $68,000, while a dovish surprise could push it to $80,000. Market uncertainty about new chair Warsh's policies is also driving safe-haven sentiment.

SmartContractAuditor

2026-03-17 16:06:14

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Odaily Planet Daily reports that macro analyst Adam from Greeks.live posted on the X platform that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be announced at 2 a.m. this Thursday. Currently, futures markets show a 99% probability of no change, and next month’s meeting is also expected to have a 97% chance of holding steady. The Fed’s recent two-month influence on the market has been relatively limited. Bitcoin is currently fluctuating around $74,000, and the greed index remains neutral:

Hawkish signals: If the dot plot shows only one or zero rate cuts by 2026, market expectations will decline, liquidity will tighten, and BTC is highly likely to retest the $68,000 support level.
Dovish surprise: As long as Powell mentions “inflation is under control” or “focus on the labor market,” improved liquidity expectations could directly push the price past the $800,000 mark.
X factor: Kevin Warsh, a former Trump nominee for the Fed chair, has policy preferences that are harder to predict than Powell’s. The market fears a “policy vacuum” or “hawkish leadership change.” Before the April meeting, institutional funds may choose to exit risk assets, causing sharp volatility in altcoins.

BTC0.73%

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