#深度创作营 The short-term high-altitude window for silver has opened, and it’s the right time to short in batches | Logic + Entry Points

After a continuous violent rally, silver’s bullish momentum is exhausted, profit-taking is saturated, and technical indicators are severely overbought. In the short term, it’s entering a high-probability correction zone. Lightly shorting in batches is the current optimal strategy.

1. Core Reasons for Shorting (Hardcore Fundamentals)

1. Short-term gains are overextended, profit-taking outflows
Silver prices rapidly surged above $90, accumulating massive unrealized gains in this rebound. Funds are eager to cash out at high levels, and any slight disturbance could trigger a stampede-like decline.

2. Technical overbought conditions, clear divergence
Daily RSI and KDJ indicators show simultaneous top divergence. Prices hit new highs but momentum continues to weaken, a typical sign of a false breakout, with a correction imminent.

3. Excessive speculation, regulatory and risk control suppression
Exchanges have repeatedly raised margin requirements. High leverage makes longs fragile; the gold-silver ratio is at a historic low, and silver’s valuation is high, indicating a need for reversion.

4. Macro outlook indicates temporary negative factors
The US dollar index is rebounding, and expectations of rate cuts are cooling down, directly suppressing precious metals’ upward potential. Silver’s high elasticity will turn into high retracement.

2. Practical Shorting Strategy (Stable, Not Aggressive)

- Entry: Short in batches around 90–93, do not chase after a breakout
- Risk Control: Set stop-loss above 94
- Targets: First target 87–85, second target 82–80
- Position: Light positions + batch trading, avoid full margin all-in

3. Key Reminders

Long-term supply and demand gaps remain unchanged, but in the short term, focus only on sentiment and funds. After a sharp rise, don’t chase highs; a rapid pullback is an opportunity to short, allowing for a steady correction and locking in profits.

Follow the trend, don’t hold against the trend; risk control comes first. In this silver correction, the bears will profit.