The escalation of the US-Iran confrontation presents a dual benefit for spot silver as a "hedge + inflation" asset. Currently, the market is in a tense "talk and fight" phase, with silver prices experiencing significant volatility.

📈 Current Market Performance

Driven by geopolitical risk premiums, recent spot silver prices have performed strongly:

Price Trend: As of February 22, spot silver is priced at $84.62 per ounce, up 1.2% for the day, with a weekly increase of 3.8%.

Hedge Properties: Trump publicly stated that "considering limited military strikes on Iran" and set a deadline of 10-15 days. This uncertainty has directly boosted safe-haven buying in precious metals.

💡 Core Impact Logic

The US-Iran confrontation mainly influences silver prices through the following two channels:

Rising Safe-Haven Sentiment: As a traditional safe-haven asset, if a military conflict erupts between the US and Iran, global funds will flood into silver to preserve value, pushing prices higher.

Inflation Expectation Transmission: Tensions in the Middle East will drive up international oil prices (e.g., Brent crude reaching a 7-month high). Rising inflation expectations will weaken the dollar's purchasing power, benefiting dollar-denominated silver.

⚠️ Risk Warning

Although geopolitical factors are short-term catalysts, silver prices also face technical resistance and Federal Reserve policy constraints:

Technical Aspects: Silver has repeatedly failed to break through the $85 resistance level, likely maintaining a range of $82-$85 in the short term.

Policy Aspects: If expectations of Fed rate cuts cool down, a stronger dollar will suppress silver's upward potential.

Summary in One Sentence: As long as the US-Iran confrontation remains unresolved, silver's safe-haven support persists, but watch out for rapid corrections if tensions ease.