Hedera (HBAR) Technical Setup Shows Mixed Signals Amid Recovery Attempts

Hedera’s HBAR token is currently trading at $0.09, up 1.06% over the last 24 hours as of February 12, 2026. This modest uptick comes following a notable pullback from the peaks reached in mid-January, when the cryptocurrency experienced a substantial decline of nearly 35%. Despite the recent pressure, technical formations and on-chain activity suggest that a more significant recovery could be on the horizon for this distributed ledger network.

Price Action and Recent Developments

The drop from mid-January highs to current levels represents a typical market correction cycle. What’s noteworthy is that Hedera hasn’t experienced a complete capitulation—key accumulation pressure from institutional and retail buyers has emerged at lower price levels. This activity signals that investors may be viewing the pullback as an entry opportunity rather than a harbinger of prolonged weakness. The relatively narrow price range over the past few days indicates consolidation, with traders and holders assessing the next directional move.

Technical Indicators Paint a Complex Picture

According to analysis from NS3.AI, multiple technical formations provide clues about HBAR’s potential trajectory. The falling wedge pattern—a bullish reversal setup where price gradually compresses between converging support and resistance lines—suggests conditions favor upside momentum. Simultaneously, money flow divergences have materialized, indicating that purchasing volume may be building beneath the surface despite surface-level price flatness.

However, the full technical picture requires nuance. While the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and Money Flow Index (MFI) indicators show signs of accumulation among buyers stepping into weakness, on-balance volume (OBV) has recently broken below key support levels. This mixed signal warns that commitment to the recovery remains uncertain. Deteriorating volume trends add to this hesitation—participation has thinned, suggesting that any bounce would require fresh buying momentum to sustain gains.

Support Levels and Risk Assessment

The critical support zone around $0.076 represents the make-or-break level for Hedera’s near-term direction. A sustained hold above this point would validate the bullish technical setup and could trigger a more decisive recovery attempt. Conversely, a breakdown through $0.076 would expose HBAR to deeper losses, with secondary support targets emerging around $0.062 and ultimately $0.043 if selling accelerates.

Traders monitoring Hedera should recognize that while the falling wedge and accumulation signals offer encouragement for potential upside, the weakening volume and OBV deterioration represent legitimate caution flags. The next few days will be pivotal in determining whether HBAR establishes a true recovery foundation or merely bounces temporarily before continuing lower.