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. Cryptocurrencies, primarily Bitcoin (BTC), as well as traditional assets like gold and silver, were heavily impacted as investors fled risky positions. BTC fell by as much as 12% during the day, dropping below $64,000 and reaching its lowest levels since October 2024. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization eroded by more than $1.2 trillion, gold prices fell by 1%, while silver experienced a sharp drop of 6.6%. This movement is interpreted as part of a broad wave of risk aversion; however, while gold maintained relative stability, the liquidation of leveraged positions in crypto assets deepened the crisis. The decline yesterday was not due to a single trigger; rather, it was accelerated by the intersection of macroeconomic uncertainties, political developments, and market dynamics. Here are the main factors:
1. 👉 Flight from Risky Assets and Tech Sell-Off Effect: Investors, affected by the sell-off in technology stocks, abandoned speculative assets like cryptocurrencies. BTC experienced an 11-13% drop, showing a high correlation with the Nasdaq index. This showed that BTC, touted as "digital gold," failed the stress test; while real gold prices maintained an upward trend during the same period, BTC moved in the opposite direction. According to shared analyses, this flight is due to liquidity withdrawal: "As funding tightened, stop-loss orders were triggered, leverage was forcibly liquidated, and liquid assets were sold first."
2. 👉 Political and Monetary Policy Pressures: US President Donald Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh to head the Fed created fear of "hawkish" policy in the markets. Warsh's nomination was perceived as a signal that monetary policy would be tightened, increasing expectations of higher interest rates. This hit interest rate-sensitive assets like cryptocurrencies; As highlighted in X, "US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's statement that the government would not support crypto accelerated the sell-off." Similarly, the decline in gold and silver was triggered by the reversal of speculative positions: Gold fell by 9%, silver by double digits, but this was a result of leveraged trading rather than a fundamental decline in demand.
3. 👉Market Internal Dynamics and Liquidation Wave: Large sell-offs were observed on crypto exchanges; for example, the sale of $3.5 billion worth of BTC crashed the price in 20 minutes. $3 billion was withdrawn from ETFs, and miners sold under cost pressure (production cost ~$87,000). In gold and silver, profit-taking and liquidity squeeze were effective after record rallies; silver was hit harder due to weak industrial demand. Renowned investor Michael Burry warned that a drop of more than 10% in BTC could create a "death spiral," highlighting the risks for mining companies and BTC-related firms.
4. 👉Global Impacts and Geopolitical Tensions: The slowdown in US employment data, inflationary pressures, and the strengthening dollar have dampened risk appetite. While geopolitical tensions pushed gold above $5,000, crypto could not fulfill this "safe haven" role. The decline in Asian markets also spread; for example, tech losses on Wall Street dragged down Asian indices.