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24h Range: $88,128 – $89,673 (~1.75% volatility)
Support / Resistance: $88,310–$88,476 | $88,862–$89,367
🔹 Key Highlights:
Extreme Fear: Fear & Greed Index 25 → panic selling visible
High Volume Sell-Off: 24h volume 3,972 BTC ($354M), ETF outflows $1.7B in 5 days
Technical Oversold: RSI (1h) 15.3, Bollinger Bands below lower band → short-term bounce possible
Liquidity Tightening: Bid-ask spreads widened, institutional shorts rising
📊 Short-Term Outlook (1–3 Days):
Bounce: $88,500–$88,862 (~40% chance)
Consolidation: $88,000–$88,500 (~35% chance)
Downside Risk: $87,500–$87,800 (~25% if support breaks)
💡 Medium-Term (1–2 Weeks):
Stabilization with ETF inflows → $88,500–$89,500
Continued outflows → $87,500–$87,800
📈 Long-Term (1–3 Months):
Corporate holdings (1.13M BTC) provide floor → ~$85K
Positive macro & inflows → $90K–$92K potential
⚠️ Trading Strategies:
Short-Term: Scale in at support, tight stop-losses below $88,200
Medium-Term: Wait for ETF & macro relief, avoid chasing dips
Long-Term: Use dips under $88K for accumulation
✅ Takeaway:
BTC is oversold but highly volatile. Expect small rebounds (~0.5–1.5%), but macro uncertainty & ETF outflows maintain downside risk. Support $88,310–$88,476 is critical. Manage risk carefully.
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