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Japan's aggressive fiscal policy sparks market turmoil: government bond yields soar, Asian stocks plunge, and U.S. Treasuries rise in tandem
【BlockBeats】On January 21, the Japanese government bond market experienced intense volatility. The yields on 30-year and 40-year government bonds surged by over 25 basis points in a single day, with traders describing it as “the most chaotic trading day in recent years.”
The trigger for this storm was the Japanese Prime Minister’s announcement to ease fiscal austerity policies and introduce tax cuts and increased spending plans. The market immediately recalled the historical lesson from former UK Prime Minister Truss in 2022—her aggressive fiscal policies led to a sharp decline in the pound, runaway government bond yields, and nearly caused a collapse of the financial system.
Panic quickly spread across the market. Weak 20-year government bond auctions forced hedge funds to cut losses and close positions, while life insurance companies faced enormous pressure. This turbulence did not stay confined to Japan; U.S. Treasury yields soared to multi-month highs.
The ripple effect extended to the stock markets. According to trading data, the Nikkei 225 index opened down 718.60 points, a decline of 1.36%, closing at 52,272.50 points; the KOSPI index in South Korea also fell, opening down 74.42 points, a decline of 1.52%, closing at 4,811.33 points. This global financial market reaction once again reminds investors: the shockwaves from policy changes can transmit across the world in an instant.