2026-01-20 00:01:41

#比特币2026年行情展望 Something interesting happened recently—the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes from five years ago suddenly surfaced, revealing some policy decision processes from September 2020. According to the documents, Powell was pushing to keep interest rates at zero, with one condition: as long as inflation stayed below 2%, they would keep the stance unchanged.

How did things actually unfold? Inflation skyrocketed the following year, but the Fed only started taking substantial action in 2022. Looking back now, this time lag clearly missed the earliest risk control window. Once these records surfaced, discussions about the Fed's decision-making logic heated up again—after all, every step of macro policy directly impacts capital flows and market expectations.

The crypto market is especially sensitive to this kind of information. In recent days, several tokens have been very active: $DUSK surged nearly 30% in a short period, and $ARPA performed even more aggressively, once breaking through 50%. Does this wave of market movement signal a trend opportunity, or is it just a cautious warning? Given the current complex macro environment, everyone’s choices might differ—some prefer to avoid risks first, while others are looking for low-entry points.

What do you think? Under such a policy backdrop, are you leaning towards caution or optimism? Share your thoughts in the comments.

DUSK-27.06%

ARPA37.65%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

17 Likes

Reward
17
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

CountdownToBroke

· 7h ago

The Federal Reserve bunch is really incredible; they could be considered experts in hindsight. If only we had started in 2022, we should have aggressively raised interest rates in 2020. Now blaming the crypto rollercoaster on us? DUSK up 30%, ARPA up 50%, looks tempting but this move is really timid. Something feels off. --- Honestly, the policy window is just an excuse; the real factor influencing the market is retail investor sentiment. Who dares to go all-in now? --- Wait, if inflation expectations are so different, why wait two more years? No wonder the crypto market is so chaotic—playing macro is really like being sheepishly sheared. --- I just want to know if this record will be used again by some big V to harvest retail investors. --- Actually, on the flip side, the more the Federal Reserve messes up, the more opportunities there might be? History always repeats itself. --- I'm tired of hearing the phrase "risk mitigation." If it were really possible, we'd be financially free already. --- ARPA's recent surge is a bit scary; it feels like institutions are just testing the waters. Don’t be fooled by fake breakouts.

View OriginalReply0

AmateurDAOWatcher

· 7h ago

My several comments: 1. Powell's procedures are really clever. If I had known inflation would be this strong, I should have acted in 2020. 2. Basically, it's just policy lag. The crypto circle falls for this trick, and the information gap makes the most money. 3. DUSK and ARPA surged so rapidly that I got nervous, feeling like it's just诱多. 4. The Federal Reserve's dark history is increasing, and this exposure is just adding fuel to the market. 5. Is this a buying opportunity at the low point? Who can confirm where the bottom is now? I'm a bit hesitant. 6. The market got excited as soon as this news came out, but do crypto enthusiasts really understand the decision-making logic? 7. Avoiding risks is the right way. With such macro chaos, those who follow the trend and buy are just chives. 8. The meeting records from five years ago are only now being revealed. The rhythm is perfect; just waiting to cut the next wave of bagholders.

View OriginalReply0

PermabullPete

· 7h ago

The Federal Reserve played this move perfectly, waiting until 2022 to act forcefully. We crypto people are the biggest losers in this inflation wave.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidityHunter

· 7h ago

Wait, $DUSK 30% $ARPA 50% I need to verify this data. Is the liquidity depth difference so significant across trading pairs?

View OriginalReply0

ForkLibertarian

· 7h ago

The Federal Reserve's manual is really impressive, a perfect example of "hindsight bias" in action. Whether the gains in DUSK and ARPA are just riding the hype or if there's real substance, I haven't figured it out yet. Now it's hard to chase the highs, and bottom-fishing is exhausting; this is the macro killer. The inflation wave of 2022 is still affecting market sentiment. But to be honest, who can truly see through the Federal Reserve's intentions? Anyway, I'm just taking a back seat. Short-term speculation is just that—speculation. The real opportunities might still be ahead.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidatedAgain

· 7h ago

Is it the same old story? Monsters created by zero interest rates in 2020, now blaming the Fed for past mistakes... How truly ironic. I'm actually more worried about DUSK and ARPA soaring like this; I've seen too many signals like this before the dump. Better to learn from past mistakes: the best we can do now is calculate our liquidation prices carefully and not get fooled by this wave of "macro narrative." My painful lesson is: the safest time to be risky is when policies are good. After a 50% increase, a bloodbath is inevitable. Basically, we're about to be liquidated again. Honestly, I prefer to avoid risks first and consider entering only after borrowing rates stabilize. The word "caution" is something I learned the hard way through margin calls. Bottom fishing? Right now, I just want to survive until 2026.

View OriginalReply0

PriceOracleFairy