2026-01-19 21:22:20

Many people do not understand a brutal mathematical truth: a 50% decline requires a 100% increase to break even. This is not some complex theory; it's basic arithmetic—going from 100 down to 50, you need to double to get back to 100. However, in the crypto market, you often hear statements like "up无限, down有限" (up无限, down有限), which are honestly mostly comforting words exchanged among market participants to boost morale. What is the reality? It’s short-term violent surges and crashes. Except for a few mainstream coins that are barely acceptable, other projects follow this pattern: rapid rise to generate hype, then ruthless crashes, with retail investors repeatedly cutting losses. Making money and eating meat was originally the market’s intention, but finding truly meaningful investment targets? That requires careful discernment.

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SatoshiChallenger

· 5h ago

Wow, I learned this math problem back in high school. The problem is that I know the theory, but when my account actually drops 50%, I still can't resist trying to buy the dip [cold laugh]. Ironically, the more rationally people analyze this logic, the more emotional they tend to be when entering the market. "Identifying targets" sounds easy, but in reality, most people choose projects based on Twitter hype. In other words, it's still a gamble on luck. Data shows: 90% of new coins either go to zero or become a cash machine within six months, yet we're still discussing basic arithmetic [funny]. Instead of obsessing over the rise and fall ratios, it's better to ask yourself whether you have the psychological resilience to withstand two 50% collapses.

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ForkThisDAO

· 11h ago

Yeah, that's really heartbreaking. A 50% drop and then doubling to break even—I've actually calculated it, and it's indeed like that. Just thinking about it is terrifying.

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DeadTrades_Walking

· 11h ago

A 50% drop is needed to double back to break even. I solved this math problem long ago, but the issue is that most people choose to forget.

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GasGasGasBro

· 11h ago

This math is correct, but the "discrimination" you mentioned is the hardest... Honestly, who can really distinguish it?

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BlockchainTherapist

· 11h ago

That was so heartbreaking. I really hate those "bottom line" motivational speeches. Wake up, everyone. Really, the math problem of 50% rebound to 100% always cuts into my brain, the pain is intense. That's just how the crypto world works. Once you see through it, it's easier. Don't expect any saviors. Just shouting slogans is useless; the key is to learn how to identify trash coins, or you'll always be a leek. The worst thing for retail investors is being emotionally hijacked. During rapid rises, they get dizzy; during crashes, they cut their losses, cycle after cycle. Mainstream coins can still let you sleep peacefully. Others? Haha, it's just a casino. Anyway, I now only focus on the project's fundamentals. All other temptations are sidelined.

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zkProofGremlin

· 11h ago

Mathematics doesn't lie, but people in the crypto market do. A 50% drop requires a 100% increase to break even, which is why I've seen so many people lose everything and still deceive themselves.

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BackrowObserver

· 11h ago

It's so heartbreaking—a 50% drop requires doubling to break even. How many times has this damn math problem tortured me?

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SquidTeacher

· 11h ago

Uh, here's the thing: a 50% drop requires doubling to break even. We've already calculated this a long time ago... The key is that most people simply don't want to face this reality, preferring to listen to those "limited downside" motivational speeches. Retail investors are most likely to fall into this trap—project teams pump up the hype to create excitement, a group of people follow suit and buy, then ruthless sell-offs follow... Really, except for top coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum, 99% of others are stuck in this cycle. If you ask me, the theory of identifying targets sounds easy, but when it comes to actually applying it to your own wallet, people's rationality is often defeated by greed... That's why the crypto market can never fully shake retail investors.

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