#以太坊大户持仓变化 🔥Policy escalation intensifies, the Federal Reserve faces a crossroads

As soon as Trump took office, he started exerting pressure: "Cut interest rates by 1% immediately!" Powell's response was "Policy independence is unshakable." The conflicting stances of these two key figures have directly stirred the entire financial market. You need to understand the real dilemma behind this: if Powell cuts rates, there's concern about inflation rebounding; if he insists on not cutting, he will face political pressure and a debt crisis. This is not just a simple economic issue but a battle of power versus reality.

The scale of US debt has risen to $38 trillion, and more alarmingly—within just three months, it increased by $1 trillion, requiring $2 million in interest payments every minute. This money-burning speed surpasses even defense spending. How to resolve this? There are only two paths: either significantly raise taxes (which is politically almost impossible) or flood the market with liquidity by printing money. The market has already seen through all this, so it has started pricing in expectations—CME data shows the probability of a rate cut in March is rising, gold has stabilized at the $4,300 level, and Bitcoin has even broken through the $93,000 mark. Behind this surge in $BTC, it's the market's expectation of loose liquidity.

But here’s a crucial point: by 2025, 1.66 million people have experienced margin calls, with losses totaling 19.3 billion. High leverage is always a double-edged sword; under optimistic sentiment, it’s easier to cut your own fingers. The real strategy should be: first, closely monitor every Federal Reserve decision and official speech—don't guess tops and bottoms based on feelings; second, allocate inflation-hedging assets, such as $BTC and gold ETFs, as safe-haven tools; third, keep leverage positions within your risk tolerance—greed is the biggest risk.

The core issues boil down to three points: Will Powell concede under Trump’s pressure? Will the flood of liquidity ultimately flow into Bitcoin or gold? Will crypto participants profit from this round or get cut? Feel free to share your thoughts and position plans in the comments.