#BTCMarketAnalysis

BTC Market Analysis My Perspective
From my point of view, Bitcoin’s current price action is one of the most important moments we’ve seen in this cycle so far. After a strong weekly push higher, BTC is once again trading near a major psychological and technical inflection point. The market is clearly showing strength, but it’s also entering a zone where decisions matter.
What stands out to me most is how price has behaved after the recent rally. Instead of seeing an aggressive rejection, Bitcoin has been holding its gains, suggesting that buyers are still in control and not rushing to exit. This type of behavior usually reflects confidence rather than euphoria. Strong trends don’t collapse immediately they pause, consolidate, and then decide on continuation.

Price Action & Market Structure
Structurally, BTC remains bullish as long as higher lows continue to form on the higher timeframes. The market has reclaimed key levels that previously acted as resistance, and those same levels are now behaving like support. This shift is critical, because it shows acceptance at higher prices rather than rejection.
I’m watching the way price reacts during pullbacks. So far, dips are being bought quickly, which tells me demand is still present. If sellers were truly in control, we would see sharper retracements and weaker recoveries but that hasn’t happened yet.
That said, we are undeniably approaching a high-liquidity resistance zone. Historically, round numbers and all-time-high regions attract heavy selling, profit-taking, and increased volatility. Even in strong bull markets, price rarely moves straight through these zones without some form of consolidation or shakeout.

Key Levels I’m Watching
Support
$90,000 – $88,000
This is the most important short-term level for me. As long as BTC holds above this zone, the bullish structure remains intact.
$84,000 – $80,000
A deeper correction into this area would still be healthy in the context of a larger bull trend.
Resistance
$95,000 – $100,000
This is the main battle zone. A clean break and hold above this area would strongly increase the probability of continuation.
$104,000+
Acceptance above here would signal price discovery and trend acceleration.

Bullish Scenario (My Base Case)
In my base case, Bitcoin consolidates near current levels, absorbs selling pressure, and eventually breaks above the psychological resistance zone. If volume expands on the breakout and price holds above previous highs, I expect momentum traders and sidelined capital to step in quickly.
Once BTC convincingly enters price discovery, the move can become fast and emotional. Markets tend to overshoot once major resistance is removed, especially in late-stage bull conditions.
As long as macro conditions don’t deteriorate sharply, I believe six-figure BTC is not just possible — it’s a logical continuation of the current trend.

Bearish / Risk Scenario
I also have to acknowledge the risk. If BTC fails to break resistance and loses the $88K–$90K support zone with strong selling pressure, that would tell me the market needs more time. In that case, a deeper correction or extended range would be likely before any sustainable move higher.
High leverage in derivatives markets increases the chance of sharp liquidations in either direction, so sudden volatility should be expected. A pullback does not invalidate the bull market — but losing structure would change the short-term bias.

Overall View
Right now, I remain cautiously bullish.
The trend is up
Market structure is still intact
Pullbacks are being bought
Resistance is close, but not rejecting aggressively
To me, this looks less like a top and more like a pause before a decision. Whether that decision is immediate continuation or short-term consolidation will be determined by how BTC behaves around resistance.
I’m staying patient, respecting risk, and letting the market confirm the next move instead of forcing a bias.