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Recently, I’ve been asked a common question: If I start investing now, have I already missed the best timing?
Actually, it depends on how you view the current market position. From a macro perspective, entering the market now is not late; in fact, it might be an ideal window for dollar-cost averaging.
**Why is now suitable for dollar-cost averaging?**
The key lies in strategy selection. It’s clearly unwise to go all-in at this point—short-term volatility can cause significant psychological stress. A more prudent approach is to build positions gradually over about two months, which minimizes the risk of each entry point and helps withstand any pullbacks without significant damage.
From a bottom-protection standpoint, the probability of mainstream cryptocurrencies falling below certain key levels is very low. This is not blind optimism but based on a deeper logic—the support of macro liquidity.
**Why is 2025 so challenging?**
The ongoing market turbulence last year was primarily due to policy uncertainty. The long-term tightening stance of central banks created enormous pressure on the entire investment market. However, this situation is expected to undergo a fundamental change as we enter 2026.
The new policymakers are likely to adopt a more accommodative monetary policy, which means market liquidity will gradually improve. Currently, sufficient funds are flowing into the investment market, and the crypto space, as a high-risk asset class, will naturally benefit. From this perspective, the probability of several clear upward trends in 2026 is nearly certain.
**How likely is a direct plunge into a bear market?**
Very low. Although there may be short-term fluctuations and some sharp dips, a complete reversal into a major bear market is unlikely. The reason is simple: macroeconomic laws are effective. As long as the market outlook remains positive, capital will continue to flow in, and the overall crypto environment won’t deteriorate too much.
**Common mistakes retail investors make**
Many fall into the trap of obsessively focusing on short-term candlestick charts. Watching minute-by-minute fluctuations daily can exhaust your mindset, leading to defeat through fatigue. On the other hand, if you relax your mindset and adopt a dollar-cost averaging approach to this cycle, you’ll have plenty of time to enjoy life instead of being drowned out by noise in the crypto world.
Opportunities for wealth will come many times in a lifetime, but the ones you truly seize are usually only one or two. When opportunities present themselves, the key is to use the right method rather than being overwhelmed by short-term fears.