【Midday Viewpoint】Ethereum's current trend is still following the old pattern—after a rally, it consolidates repeatedly at high levels. Following the last volume-driven surge, it is now pulling back from the high, but don’t be fooled by the decline; the structure is actually intact. This kind of pullback is more about taking a break after a strong move, which is a normal technical correction. As long as the key support levels below hold, the overall trend remains bullish.



Looking at the BOLL data: the upper band is around 3186, the middle band at 3150, and the lower band at 3109. Currently, the middle band is steadily rising, and the price is oscillating around the upper and middle bands. Interestingly, the upper band is starting to flatten, indicating a short-term consolidation need. However, both the middle and lower bands are moving upward, which suggests that the bullish structure is still intact.

The two key criteria are: if the price retraces without breaking the middle band, it’s still a strong consolidation phase; if it falls below the middle band with increased volume, caution is needed as further decline may follow.

Regarding MACD: it is currently above the zero line, with the momentum bars shrinking but not yet turning green. This indicates a process of cooling off after a high-level pause. If during the pullback the volume gradually diminishes, there is still upward momentum ahead; conversely, if volume increases and MACD turns green while falling below zero, the market could shift into a weaker sideways phase.

**How to trade long positions? Just one idea—buy on dips.**
Enter between 3110 and 3080, with targets around 3180 to 3250, and place stop-loss below 3050.

**What about short positions? Defensive on rebounds.**
Consider entering on rebounds to 3225–3250, with targets around 3150 to 3100, and stop-loss above 3270.

In simple terms, Ethereum now is just consolidating at high levels after a rally, not a trend reversal. The core of the operation is: don’t chase the highs, don’t be driven by emotions, patiently wait for a dip to go long; when it rebounds to resistance levels, take small defensive short positions. As long as key supports hold, we should follow the bullish trend rhythm. The most important thing at this stage is risk control—strictly execute stop-losses without compromise.
ETH-4.31%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
GasFeeVictimvip
· 01-06 13:24
It's the same trick again. I just want to ask if we can really hold the 3150 this time. Last time, you said the same thing, but it still broke.
View OriginalReply0
ForkTonguevip
· 01-05 06:41
Alright, it's that old story again about the middle band not breaking, I've heard it a hundred times. The key still depends on volume; without volume, any technical analysis is meaningless. Can the critical support at 3050 really hold? It's a bit uncertain. The bullish framework isn't broken but isn't very strong either, feels like just wasting time. Stop-losses must be strict, that's correct, otherwise a gap could wipe you out. This rebound to 3250 feels like it's going to be eaten back by sell orders. Here we go again, waiting to buy low for a long time, but still not daring to go in. The middle band flattening indicates no momentum, so why are we still so bullish? Honestly, I just want to wait for the moment when support is broken; that's when the real opportunity will come.
View OriginalReply0
not_your_keysvip
· 01-05 05:57
It's the same old trick again, repeatedly pulling and tugging at the sky at high levels. The key is still to hold the middle band; otherwise, it's over. --- Be careful if you go short at 3080; defending the rebound is the way to go. --- Risk control is right to mention, but the real challenge is in the execution, isn't it? --- The middle band continues to move upward, which is promising; it all depends on whether it can truly hold the support. --- Don't let emotions drive your decisions, no matter what anyone says. I've heard too many people panic and sell when prices drop. --- There's nothing wrong with saying 3150 is a critical level; if it's broken, you really need to change your approach. --- The idea of buying low is good, but I'm worried you'll react too late and it will take off again, FOMO pushing everyone to chase after it.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropSweaterFanvip
· 01-05 05:54
It's the same pattern again, repeatedly pulling back from high levels—really annoying. I've seen through it, just waiting for a dip around 3080 to buy in, what else can I do? As long as the midline isn't broken, continue to go long; this logic makes sense. Risk control is definitely on point; stop-losses must be executed. Try defending a short position if it rebounds to 3250. Whether this round can break through 3250 is the key, right? Wait for a pullback, don't chase the rally—this point is correct. MACD hasn't turned green yet, the bullish framework is still holding. Basically, just waiting for an opportunity, no need to rush.
View OriginalReply0
Whale_Whisperervip
· 01-05 05:49
It's the same high-level oscillation routine again, so annoying. Let's see if 3150 can hold. Every day shouting that the bullish framework is still there, the structure hasn't broken, feels like these words are almost worn out. Entering at 3110 is okay, but I'm just worried about getting trapped again, stopping loss at 3050 is too tight. Rebound to 3250, short positions defend, sounds easy, but in actual operation, I tend to be soft-hearted. Promised not to chase the rally, but can't resist after seeing a wave of gains—that's the real picture. Whether the key support can hold depends on the subsequent volume. Right now, just talking is useless.
View OriginalReply0
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)