#比特币网络升级 Another round of anxiety marketing has begun. Seeing Nic Carter's long article about the threat of quantum computing, my first reaction was—I've seen this routine too many times.

Let's start with the facts: Jameson Lopp and Adam Back have a very clear-headed attitude; quantum computing won't threaten Bitcoin in the short term, and even if protocol modifications are necessary, they will take 5 to 10 years. This is the cautious attitude that should be taken. But Nic Carter? The companies invested in by his fund happen to be selling "quantum-resistant attack tools." What is this called? This is called someone with a vested interest creating panic.

Having been immersed in the crypto space for so many years, my biggest lesson is: anyone who can profit from a certain panic is nine times out of ten the one creating the panic. 1.7 million Bitcoins face imminent risk—sounds terrifying. But what are the real experts saying? Don't rush; we have time, and we need to take it slow.

Michael Saylor's words hit the core: frequent changes to the Bitcoin protocol itself are actually the biggest risk. Using unlimited funds to pressure top developers to "improve" a system that's been running for 15 years is itself creating opportunities for disruption.

My advice to everyone: when you encounter claims of "imminent disaster," ask three questions—who is speaking? Can they profit from it? What do the true core developers think? If the first two questions point to the same利益链, then the third answer is what you should believe. Don't be swayed by the hype; protecting your assets is the top priority.