#美国SEC代币化股票交易计划 Gold Market Version 1.5 Operation Guide

Just as the new year begins, a major event occurs. On January 3rd, the U.S. escalated military actions against Venezuela, causing risk aversion sentiment to spike instantly, and gold prices directly broke through the $4400 mark.

Looking at the longer timeframe, the fundamentals of the gold bull market are actually quite solid. The Federal Reserve is definitely going to cut interest rates by 2026, with institutions generally expecting 2-4 rate cut windows; plus the global trend of reduced dollar usage and continuous central bank gold purchases, the bullish logic is clear.

However, there are two short-term pitfalls to watch out for: first, the commodity index adjustment from January 8-14 will passively cause about a 3% decline in gold; second, year-end profit-taking combined with increased margin requirements will severely deplete market resilience.

**Key operational advice**: Don’t greedily chase the highs; wait for a genuine pullback in gold before considering going long. Keep a close eye on certain price levels—if it stabilizes around $4320-$4250, that’s the most cost-effective entry point; the short-term top is around $4450-$4550, and breaking through will be particularly difficult.

**Risk control must be taken seriously**: The U.S. non-farm payroll data on January 9 is a critical turning point, potentially directly changing the rate cut pace, causing explosive volatility; when going long, stop-loss must be set below $4320-$4250—this is not just a suggestion, but a strict requirement.

Disclaimer: The opinions are for discussion and exchange only, not as investment advice. Trading involves risks.