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#Polymarket预测市场 I just saw Vitalik say that prediction markets are the "cure" for social media, and that idea really shook me 🤯
I used to be easily scared by exaggerated claims on Twitter, like some big influencer saying "something will definitely happen," which would make me anxious. Later, I realized many of those were just to generate hype. But on Polymarket, the prediction market for "Will there be a civil war in the UK in 2024?" has only a 3% probability, and that data is really ironic in comparison!
Now I understand that prediction markets involve real money, and lying means losing money, so participants tend to evaluate risks more rationally. It's like an "honest incentive mechanism," right? In contrast, creating panic on social media costs nothing and is way too easy to make people emotional.
The most interesting part is that from now on, I can check the probability of any explosive news on Polymarket 😄. I feel this can help me stay calm and judge things rationally, without being driven by emotions. Although I haven't really played in prediction markets yet (a bit afraid of losing money), just using it as a tool to verify information is already very interesting.
Has anyone used Polymarket? How can beginners safely experience this kind of prediction market?