Recent market news has been frequent, and it’s indeed necessary to pay attention to both macro and technical aspects. The recent rally this morning successfully pushed Ethereum to touch our previously set entry zone. Friends who want to participate should remember to manage risks properly.



**Technical Analysis**

The daily chart has already broken above the Bollinger upper band, and the 4-hour chart is also at a relatively high level, so a retracement is likely to occur next. Resistance above is concentrated in the 3250-3280 range, while support depends on whether 3180 and 3120 can hold.

**Specific Trading Ideas**

If you go short at the high of 3250-3280: set stop-loss above 3350, with initial targets at 3180-3150. If it breaks below 3150, you can continue to look for stronger support around 3000. It is recommended to divide your positions: enter the initial position at 3250, and add another around 3300.

If you choose to go long at 3120-3100: place stop-loss below 3070, and take profit at 3200-3230.

**Risk Reminder**

No matter what you do, keep your position sizes small—it's recommended to allocate only 2%-5% of your total account for each trade. Trading is easy to talk about, but those who truly make money are the ones who can manage risks well and avoid blindly chasing highs. These are just personal analysis ideas; the specific operation should be based on your own risk tolerance.
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MysteryBoxOpenervip
· 01-08 02:58
This wave of 3250 hitting the top is highly likely. I have already gone short. I'll wait for a pullback to 3150 before making a move.
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PumpStrategistvip
· 01-07 17:10
The Bollinger upper band breakout is so obvious, the chip distribution has long signaled this, and those still chasing now will just be paying tuition. --- The 3250 level is indeed interesting, but RSI has already exceeded 80, and risk release is the main focus. --- Dividing positions sounds good, but few actually execute it; most still go all-in with a gamble. --- No matter how good the words are, they can't change a reality: in overbought zones, when emotions run too hot, just wait for the chives to be harvested. --- The pattern has formed, but how deep can this retracement go? The key is whether 3120 can hold. --- Light positions, light positions, how many times have I said this? Yet some still bet 40% of their holdings on a single point. --- The technical support is solid, but what about the macro environment? Those only looking at candlesticks won't last long.
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FlashLoanLarryvip
· 01-06 21:25
ngl the opportunity cost of chasing those basis points rn is kinda wild when liquidity's this shallow lmao. thesis validation speedrun incoming i guess
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rugged_againvip
· 01-06 17:18
Time to cut losses again, haha.
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SybilSlayervip
· 01-05 04:56
It's the same old story again, the Bollinger breakout to the high level and then pulling back. The key is whether 3120 can hold. --- This method of lightening and reducing positions is indeed effective, but I'm worried that human greed might get the better of us. --- Shorts at 3250 should have been entered already. Entering now carries quite a bit of risk. --- This wave of market movement doesn't seem that simple. What are your views on the macro outlook? --- The 2%-5% suggestion is here, but most people still go all-in right away. --- Target 3150? That's too conservative. The technicals are so strong, yet you're still worried about a decline. --- Long or short, it's a matter of a moment. It's better to wait for a pullback to confirm support before acting.
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SpeakWithHatOnvip
· 01-05 04:54
Here comes the Bollinger breakout again. Can it really withstand the 3250 resistance this time? I remain uncertain. It's true that those making money are all trading with small positions, no doubt about that. The early morning surge was a bit fierce, but a pullback is really a high-probability event. The 3180 key support level—only when it breaks is it truly over. I've learned the trick of averaging down in parts, but when it comes to actually executing, I still feel a bit guilty. The 2%-5% suggestion is quite conservative, but staying alive is more important than anything else.
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LiquidityNinjavip
· 01-05 04:46
It's the same old story, keep a light position, keep a light position, but how many actually follow through?
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NFTPessimistvip
· 01-05 04:41
Did you dare to chase after the Bollinger upper band breakout? I really can't understand it; it's always the same cut every time. It's either scaling in or lightening positions, no matter how nicely you phrase it, it doesn't change the essence of chasing highs. That 3000 support level, I think it's shaky. With such a poor macro environment, can it really hold? Risk management and all that, I've heard a hundred times, but how many actually implement it? If Ethereum drops further this time, the positions built earlier will be wasted.
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GasFeeNightmarevip
· 01-05 04:41
Still being greedy, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band and still wanting to chase. I'm waiting to watch the show with the 3250 short.
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