2026-01-05 04:26:28

PEPE's recent weekly bullish candle is indeed fierce, but don't rush to jump in.

Looking at historical trends, when the weekly chart first touches the POC level, the probability of a pullback is about 70%. Right now, it seems more like the first wave of a weekly cycle, and the real test is still ahead.

Once the POC area is broken through, everything can happen—people trapped in positions will look to cut losses, short-term traders will start to take profits, and new FOMO buyers entering the market will panic and sell off. These forces combined create a natural pressure point.

The wave 2 retracement is actually a necessary shakeout. Clearing out the floating positions above the POC thoroughly allows wave 3 to move more smoothly, otherwise it will be sluggish.

PEPE-4.49%

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LightningWallet

· 01-05 04:56

Here comes wave theory again. I think we still need to wait for wave 2 to drop before making a move. Entering now just makes you a bagholder. --- The POC area is indeed under a lot of pressure. With short covering and FOMO crashing down, who can withstand it? --- Seventy percent chance of a pullback? Then I’m even less in a hurry. Anyway, the floating positions need to be cleared. --- This big bullish candle looks satisfying, but the real test is the subsequent shakeout. Without some resolve, you simply can't hold on. --- Wait and see how wave 2 drops. It’s not too late to get in once it hits bottom. --- Honestly, entering PEPE now is a gamble on wave 3. I’m not that optimistic.

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FadCatcher

· 01-05 04:55

70% probability of a pullback? Bro, where did you get this data from? Feels a bit optimistic. --- Waiting for the floating supply to clear before rising again sounds reasonable, but I'm worried we’re all stuck in the floating supply. --- It's still waves 1, 2, and 3; no matter how it drops later, I can justify it to myself. --- The pile of stop-loss orders at POC is really fierce. As new retail investors caught in the middle, it’s a bit uncomfortable. --- Wait a bit before going in again. Jumping in now is indeed a bit of a gamble. --- That makes sense, but the market never follows the usual pattern, and this time is no exception. --- If the shakeout continues until I’m forced out, does that count as a success?

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SelfCustodyBro

· 01-05 04:54

Wait, where does the 70% retracement probability data come from? It feels a bit scary. --- It's the wave theory again. I feel like applying it to PEPE is a bit shaky. --- I agree with clearing floating positions, but who can say how long a true shakeout will take? --- The POC resistance is indeed a hurdle, but history may not necessarily repeat itself. --- The statement that a 2-wave retracement is necessary is too absolute. What if it just goes straight up? --- It looks like a pretty rational analysis, but I still think PEPE is too wild. --- The layered strategies of short-term profit-taking, short-term exit, and FOMO selling can really crush the market. --- I just want to know what to do if things don't go as planned. Is there a B plan? --- The weekly first POC condition itself is quite special; referencing history may not be very meaningful. --- I get the logic of clearing floating positions, but the timing is off.

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GasFeeCrying

· 01-05 04:50

It's the same old story, every time they say a pullback is necessary for shakeout, and what happens? Have I seen anyone get cut in half more often? The POC area is really broken, retail investors have already exited long ago, so where's the third wave... But on the other hand, this wave is indeed fierce, but I still prefer to wait for a dip. Anyway, rushing won't change the trend.

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rekt_but_resilient

· 01-05 04:41

The idea of clearing out weak hands sounds good, but who can really hold on when it matters most? --- POC pressure is indeed high, but where does this 70% probability come from? It feels a bit arbitrary. --- Wait, are you saying that everyone entering now is just cannon fodder? Then I guess I need to wait a bit longer. --- That's right, Wave 2 shakeout is brutal. Let's see how many retail investors can be shaken out then. --- Wave 3 is the real show; entering now is just for the thrill. --- Makes sense, but psychologically it's still very hard to withstand this kind of volatility. --- I don't know if it's just me, but I feel like the POC level is just a black hole. --- While the shakeout theory is valid, who knows if they'll just cut the grass and harvest the leeks directly? --- Waiting for a retracement again? Alright, I’ll go grab a coffee first. --- This analysis approach is good, but execution still depends on luck.

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PEPE's recent weekly bullish candle is indeed fierce, but don't rush to jump in.

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Your First Words Matter! Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards. Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish 2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you! Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC 2026 starts with this post!

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Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards.
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