Looking at the monthly chart of Ethereum, the 2026 candlestick has already begun.

Looking back at the trend over the past few years, compared to the wave from January 2021 to January 2022, there has been little to no significant increase. We are just beginning the monthly chart for 2026, and it’s not finished yet. Based on my prediction, it’s more likely to dip to around 2500.

The market sentiment has been quite冷淡 these days, and what’s missing is a black swan event; extreme行情 could emerge at any time. For those doing grid trading or playing with contracts, risk management must be prioritized.

Looking back over these four years, rather than saying it’s just ups and downs, it’s more about底部 accumulation and shakeouts. I don’t think the真正的爆发阶段 has arrived yet, but this process will be very煎熬.

Let me put it this way: even if I know there will be a decline recently, I don’t plan to割肉, and I definitely won’t go short. Because the cost of doing so is too high — it’s not about怕卖飞, but about可能会错过整个牛市行情. When you tally up this account, it’s more痛 than any short-term loss.