As of 08:00 on January 5th, the price is reported at $3,139, and there are still reasons to be bullish in the short term.



The daily MACD remains in a bullish alignment, which is quite crucial. The price is steadily above the moving average line, and this is even more evident on the 4-hour chart — the strong upward trend with ADX at 43 is clearly visible. On the derivatives side, short positions are being liquidated at a ratio of 71% ($15.2M), indicating that the bulls are currently in control of the game. Based on the current structure, the price is expected to oscillate within the $3,120-$3,200 range, with about a 60% probability of an upward move, targeting $3,170-$3,200.

**Key support levels**:
- $3,126: 1-hour Bollinger Band lower band
- $3,100: This is the maximum pain point for options, with short liquidation pressure accumulating over $950M+

**Resistance levels to watch**:
- $3,160: Short liquidation starting point ($12.7M)
- $3,192: 4-hour Bollinger Band upper band
- $3,200: Highest liquidation density here ($66M+)

From a multi-timeframe perspective, the 1-hour chart touches the Bollinger Band upper band ($3,150), and the 4-hour chart remains above EMA20($3,102)/EMA50($3,047), favoring the bulls. However, attention should be paid to signals like overbought RSI on the 4-hour chart and narrowing MACD histogram — these could trigger a short-term correction.

Open interest totals $41.7B (up 0.34% in 24 hours), indicating sufficient market liquidity. With this volume, any directional move can be amplified easily, so proper risk management remains essential.
ADX-9.13%
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GhostAddressHuntervip
· 01-05 21:07
66M liquidation density pile here, 3200 is probably another trap, bulls don't get too arrogant
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ThatsNotARugPullvip
· 01-05 04:51
The crucial support at 3100 really needs to hold, otherwise the pullback will look ugly.
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DegenDreamervip
· 01-05 04:50
The pain point at 3100 has accumulated 9.5 billion in liquidation pressure. If it can't break through, it's very difficult to push it further down.
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EternalMinervip
· 01-05 04:38
There is a 60% chance it will go up, but be careful around 3200 where liquidation is so intense.
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MoonRocketmanvip
· 01-05 04:30
Hmm... The ADX43 data is really impressive; the launch window has indeed opened. The upper band of the Bollinger Bands has already touched $3,150. Based on this coefficient, escape velocity is definitely sufficient. The key is the $950M long position in the $3,100 zone, which is a danger zone. Keep a close eye on stop-loss levels. Liquidity at $41.7B is supporting the market; it's unlikely to crash in the short term. The probability favors a bullish move. Don't ignore the RSI overbought signal; a significant pullback could happen. Prepare your fuel supplies.
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