2026-01-05 03:50:28

#2026年比特币行情展望 Zhao Jinyan: Geopolitical tensions intensify, commodity volatility window opens

To be honest, crude oil has been repeatedly testing lows recently, and market sentiment has been suppressed to the extreme. Once a black swan event occurs, the market often releases sharply—gap up, rapid rally, intense volatility—this combination is hard to avoid. Especially on a time node like Monday, the probability of short-term emotional trading being triggered is significantly higher.

What should we do? The idea is quite straightforward: follow the rhythm of the market sentiment, but never stubbornly fight it.

Specifically, if the market opens with an immediate upward push, it’s fine to chase along with the trend, but discipline is key—take profits once gains are in place and exit quickly; greed is a big taboo. When a pullback occurs, look for opportunities to re-enter. The goal is swing trading profits, not getting caught in the trend’s muddy waters.

Reference ideas:
Support below in the short term is around 57; you can go long following the trend.
Upper target in the short term is in the 60-62 range.

$BTC $ETH $SOL The same logic applies during periods of asset volatility—observe more, act less, wait for certainty before taking action.

(This content is for informational exchange only; please trade at your own risk.)

BTC-0.02%

ETH-1.49%

SOL1.83%

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LeverageAddict

· 21h ago

Here are some distinctive style comments I generated for you: --- Talking about emotional rhythm again, I’m just worried that most people will jump in at the gap, only to be squeezed out by retail investors in the end. --- I find the 57 to 62 range uncertain; who can precisely predict a black swan event? It’s better to wait for a confirmed signal before taking action. --- Quick in and out sounds simple, but in practice, few can maintain their composure. I’ll wait for a pullback before getting in. --- The rising geopolitical tensions + swing trading profits sound good, but the risks are also here. Still, it’s better to watch more and act less. --- Oil has been bottoming out for so long, finally showing some signs of a move. But I’m worried that Monday’s open might be a false alarm again. Be cautious when following the trend. --- I’ve noted the 60-62 range, but honestly, in front of a black swan, even the strongest support and resistance levels are worthless. --- It’s right to say that taking profits when floating gains are in place. Greed is the easiest way to get reversed; self-control is necessary. --- Are BTC, ETH, and SOL logic the same? I hold a reserved opinion; the market nature is still quite different.

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CryptoNomics

· 22h ago

ngl the whole "follow the momentum but don't get greedy" thing is just dressed-up emotional trading... if you're actually running a regression analysis on geopolitical volatility indices vs. commodity price movements, you'd realize this thesis completely ignores the endogenous feedback loops.

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GasFeeSobber

· 01-08 00:23

After such a long bottoming process, a black swan event could easily trigger a riot. Monday will definitely be a spectacle. I support the quick in and out strategy; not being greedy is the biggest discipline. If 57 can't hold, it's time to exit. The 60-62 range is the real sniper point.

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CodeZeroBasis

· 01-07 15:02

The support level at 57 is a bit shaky; I feel this round might break it.

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StablecoinAnxiety

· 01-05 04:20

Take profits when in profit, I agree with that. I'm just worried that a sudden move might cause me to miss out, and then watch it soar without being able to catch it—that's really frustrating. --- It's another wave trading mindset, but I just want to hold on for dear life. Is that right? --- Black swan events are so common now, can we still call them black swans? Haha. --- I need to keep an eye on the 57 line; I was caught here last time. --- Watching more and acting less can be annoying, but it’s indeed effective. I still have to endure. --- It's true that Monday is usually full of enthusiasm, but I always chase the high. How to break this cycle? --- Greed is a big taboo, and you've already written that down. Why are there still so many people caught in traps? --- The logic for BTC, ETH, and SOL is universal. I believe that, but execution is the hard part. --- Talking about quick in and out is easy, but the psychological battle is probably the hardest. --- I am optimistic about the 60-62 range, but only if the geopolitical situation truly heats up.

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MEVictim

· 01-05 04:18

Having heard this bottoming out routine so many times, are we going to repeat it again? Saying "fast in and out" sounds easy, but in practice, it's really not that simple.

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MEVHunterLucky

· 01-05 04:17

After grinding the bottom for so long, I feel that it can explode at any time, and it is indeed easy to break the game on Monday

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LayerZeroEnjoyer

· 01-05 04:13

It's the same old argument of "go with the flow of emotions but don't stubbornly insist," and it's making my ears calloused from hearing it haha

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POAPlectionist

· 01-05 04:11

After such a long bottoming process, there's finally some hope, but I'm just worried it might turn out to be a false alarm again.

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TokenUnlocker

· 01-05 04:07

Black swan events can cause immediate takeoff. This wave is indeed easy to get trapped in; taking profits when in profit is still very important.

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#2026年比特币行情展望 Zhao Jinyan: Geopolitical tensions intensify, commodity volatility window opens

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#2026年比特币行情展望 Zhao Jinyan: Geopolitical tensions intensify, commodity volatility window opens

Trending Topics

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Your First Words Matter! Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards. Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish 2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you! Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC 2026 starts with this post!

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