2026-01-05 03:00:36

#2026年比特币行情展望 $JOE $PEPE $DOGE

Employment Data in Jeopardy: Unemployment Rate Rises from 4% to 4.6%, Highest in a Year

The most painful part isn't inflation—true risks are hidden in the labor market. Tariff wars have already cut over 70,000 factory jobs, and corporate hiring is nearly frozen. Economist Rosenberg bluntly states: The labor market is shrinking, and that is the black swan.

On the surface, GDP is still holding up, but consumer spending has already deteriorated. Savings rate collapses, income stagnates, retail consumption growth is only 0.2%, and spending on non-essential goods is declining across the board. The K-shaped divide is becoming more apparent—the gap between the wealthy and the ordinary is widening.

The rate cut battle is about to begin
Wall Street now only dares to predict a 50 basis point cut, but Rosenberg insists: The Federal Reserve needs to aggressively cut rates by 125 basis points, bringing the rate below 2.25%. The two camps are at odds—one fears inflation rebound, the other urges to rescue the market quickly.

This week is a critical window
From Monday to Wednesday, watch the US-China PMI showdown; Friday is the big day—China's CPI/PPI versus US Non-Farm Payrolls. Whether there will be a rate cut in January will become clear this week.

Will there be a soft landing in 2026? It all depends on whether employment can stabilize. If unemployment continues to rise, global financial markets may face a wave of systemic shocks.

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TooScaredToSell

· 2h ago

Is the labor market about to collapse? Then us small retail investors might as well hold tight to Bitcoin --- Unemployment rate jumps to 4.6, ordinary workers are really having a tough time, is it still possible to cut interest rates in time? --- The K-shaped split is becoming more and more obvious, the wealthy are bottom fishing, and we are still worried about rent... this game rule is too damn unfair --- 125 basis points? Does the Fed dare to do this? Feels like another bluff --- After the non-farm payroll data on Friday, the crypto world is about to turn upside down. Should we buy the dip or clear out now, everyone? --- The tariff war cut 70,000 factory jobs, this is the real black swan, much scarier than inflation --- Consumer growth rate is 0.2%? No one is buying anything anymore, how can the economy keep going? --- Rosenberg is right, the current risk is not inflation, but the complete loosening of employment --- Soft landing in 2026? Looks like a hard landing is coming... I’d better stockpile coins to save my life first --- This week’s US-China PMI showdown, feels like this time is really different, a bit nervous

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TokenDustCollector

· 01-05 14:20

Unemployment rate jumps so much, better get on board quickly, the crypto world is the real safe haven Wait, is the interest rate cut coming? Those altcoins are probably about to take off again 70,000 factory jobs lost, ordinary people should really buy Bitcoin to secure their bottom line Don’t wait, the data will be out on Friday and will decide everything. It’s not too late to get in now K-shaped division basically means the wealthy are eating well, we should buy coins to hedge against inflation Betting big this week, feeling like something major is about to happen Market rescue, in the end, it’s still up to crypto to save itself

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On-ChainDiver

· 01-05 03:30

Unemployment rate breaks 4.6%, now the crypto circle is really tense, and the rate cut expectations are about to spark another wave of hype --- The K-shaped split is so severe that ordinary workers have even less spare money to buy coins, it's tough --- Robsonberg's violent rate cut theory sounds ridiculous, does the Federal Reserve dare to do that --- Friday's non-farm payroll data is the real decisive factor, and BTC will have to follow with a shake --- The consumer sector is so bad that it’s hard to believe in a soft landing? Wake up, everyone --- Tariff wars have cut 70,000 jobs, and the economic logic behind this really can't hold up anymore --- Those still daring to go all-in are truly brave; I can't understand this situation --- A 125 basis point rate cut vs inflation risk, both sides are gambling, and crypto enthusiasts are just waiting to watch the show --- Collapse of savings rate, what does this mean? No money left, how can we continue dollar-cost averaging --- This week’s US-China PMI showdown feels like it will influence the trend for the entire month

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NFTragedy

· 01-05 03:28

Unemployment rate surging, the crypto circle has to tremble along. The expectation of interest rate cuts is the lifeline for BTC. Why can't Wall Street and Rosenberg reach a conclusion? We still have to wait for non-farm payroll data this week to see clearly. The K-shaped split is becoming more obvious... the wealthy are buying the dip and accumulating coins, while we workers can only watch. Honestly, if the employment market collapses, how good can the crypto market get? It’s just following along. The consumer side is so bad that if the Federal Reserve doesn’t rescue the market, I’ll be waiting to buy the dip.

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MoonMathMagic

· 01-05 03:27

Unemployment rate is soaring, this is going to be interesting. The crypto world is about to seek some excitement. --- Optimistic about rate cuts, but 125 basis points is too aggressive. Does the Federal Reserve dare to do it? --- The K-shaped divide is real. The wealthy are hoarding coins, while the less fortunate are earning pocket money. --- Tariffs cut 70,000 jobs. That’s the real deal, more painful than any inflation data. --- Will Friday’s non-farm payrolls cause a market explosion? I bet a cup of coffee on the chance of a rate cut. --- Ordinary people's consumption is retreating across the board. Anyway, I’ve already gone all in on shitcoins. --- I really don’t believe in a soft landing. Black swans are right in front of us. --- Talking about black swans again. There’s a black swan every month; I’m used to it. --- The wealthy are rushing in. What are you hesitating for? --- This week’s window is so critical. Hurry up and get on board.

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FallingLeaf

· 01-05 03:25

With the unemployment rate soaring so rapidly, the crypto world has to tremble along. A 125 basis point rate cut? Dream on, Wall Street.

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CafeMinor

· 01-05 03:24

Unemployment rate surges again, is this really going to crash now? Can't even afford coffee, so what's the point of mining? The rate cut is expected to drop to 2.25%, what does that mean? Is Bitcoin about to take off again? Wall Street and economists are arguing again, but I only care if Friday's data can save my positions. K-shaped split has been discussed for so long, but why do I feel like I'm getting poorer? Wait, 70,000 jobs cut due to the tariff war? No wonder everyone around is talking about layoffs. Please, everyone, stop cutting the internet sector. Ordinary people's consumption growth has slowed to only 0.2%, are these people starting to buy the dip in digital currencies? The labor market is shrinking, black swan events are taking off, should I continue my dollar-cost averaging? The real issue isn't inflation, it's that we all have no money left. Can the January rate cut really happen? I'm holding on to this hope to get through the week. Rosenberg is talking about a 125 basis point cut? Just listen, the Fed wouldn't be that harsh. Is a global systemic shock still far from us small retail investors?

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BoredStaker

· 01-05 03:23

Unemployment rate jumps directly to 4.6, this is definitely a bearish signal. Why is the crypto market still partying? The K-shaped split is truly incredible. The wealthy are buying the dip and accumulating coins, while workers can't save money. Wall Street folks are still dithering. Will the rate cut be 50 basis points or 125 basis points? When will they actually cut? Once the non-farm payroll data is released on Friday, we'll know the direction for the rest of the week. Betting on a big move. Savings rate has collapsed, with consumer growth at only 0.2%. The economy is really cracking. With such strong rate cut expectations, shouldn't we be bullish on Bitcoin? Why is it still falling? The job market is frozen, and that's the real danger—much scarier than inflation. 70,000 factory jobs lost. The trade war is hitting hard. How can ordinary people survive? Next week, US-China data will clash. It feels like the crypto market is about to have a tumultuous ride. Interest rates are expected to drop to 2.25%. Retail investors should start buying the dip; institutions have been waiting for this.

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