Recently, Wall Street economist David Rosenberg issued a major forecast, pointing directly to 2026 as a potential watershed moment for the U.S. economy.



His assessment is quite specific: the labor market is about to turn downward, with unemployment surpassing 5% just the beginning, possibly reaching 6% by the end of the year. This is not a mild adjustment but a comprehensive shift in the labor market. Once employment cannot hold up, the dominoes of an economic recession are essentially set.

More importantly, the Federal Reserve's response. Rosenberg predicts that the Fed will be forced to take aggressive action, potentially cutting interest rates by 125 basis points before the end of 2026, pushing rates down to a low of 2.25%. Imagine this—after fighting to suppress inflation for the past two years and seeing initial results, suddenly having to urgently support the economy again. What does this kind of reversal mean for the market? Everyone should be aware.

How will assets like $BTC, $XRP, and $PEPE react? The market is waiting for two answers: can the unemployment rate really spike to 6%? Will the Fed dare to cut rates significantly? Some see this as excessive panic, while others are already preparing for the worst-case scenario.

What’s your take? Is this just needless worry or a real warning?
BTC-2.62%
XRP-5.87%
PEPE-1.41%
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RumbleValidatorvip
· 01-05 03:00
A 125 basis point rate cut all at once? The data chain doesn't add up. Employment data needs to be stably verified to truly drive the Fed to shift. It's still too early to say that now.
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TradFiRefugeevip
· 01-05 03:00
Cut interest rates by 125bp? When that happens, liquidity will explode, and BTC will skyrocket... but the premise is that the unemployment rate can really hit 6% consecutively, which is not certain. --- When did Rosenberg ever get it right? 2026 is still early, and he's already starting to be bearish. --- Wait, does the Federal Reserve really dare to cut interest rates so aggressively? Will the dollar crash directly? This logic seems reversed. --- Another year, another doomsday theory. I'm exhausted... Crypto people are waiting for a crash every day, but every time they get it wrong and get chopped. --- A one-time cut of 125bp, XRP probably needs to double, assuming the rate cut really happens. --- Don't panic excessively; employment isn't that fragile. Wall Street folks just love to create anxiety. --- I'm more concerned about whether the Federal Reserve will really be willing to devalue the dollar... that's not very realistic. --- 2026? By then, what will the situation be? What's the point of predicting? It's better to look at the current data.
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0xDreamChaservip
· 01-05 02:58
125 basis points? If it really drops, BTC will take off directly. The current question is whether the Federal Reserve dares to do it or not.
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MemeTokenGeniusvip
· 01-05 02:44
125 basis points all at once? Then BTC has to take off, and break new highs directly.
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