Recently, a sensational debate has erupted in the US economic circle. A prominent figure at the American Economic Association annual meeting voiced the opinion: the risk of "fiscal kidnapping" of the central bank by the government is intensifying.



What exactly is happening? Current government officials openly demand the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, with a straightforward reason — to ease the debt repayment pressure on the government. It sounds harmless, but the underlying logic is dangerous: the central bank is forced to compromise, and the independence of economic governance is collapsing.

Economists present at the same event also couldn't stay silent. A former Federal Reserve governor even stated outright: the most frightening thing is not the debt itself, but that those in power may not even realize how serious it is. Past governments, even if inactive, at least understood that they were playing with fire. Now, it’s different — they might truly not have thought through the consequences.

The numbers are clear: this year's federal deficit is expected to surpass $1.9 trillion. The debt-to-GDP ratio? It’s already approaching 100%, and looking ahead to the next decade, this figure could soar to around 118%. This is not a healthy growth trajectory; it’s walking a tightrope.

What does this mean for investors? The uncertainty of liquidity policies has suddenly increased sharply. How much room does the central bank still have for independent operations? What will happen to the dollar policy? How will global capital allocation adjust? These have become major issues.

However, people are not entirely pessimistic. Some analysts believe that the potential crisis could instead serve as a turning point, pulling Congress out of the quagmire of partisan stances and forcing both parties to sit down and genuinely discuss reforms. Of course, this depends on how the situation develops moving forward.
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OnlyOnMainnetvip
· 01-05 02:57
Are they coming back to trick us into rate cuts? This trick has almost been played out, and the independence of the central bank has long been eroded. --- 1.9 trillion yuan deficit breaking the sky, still dare to blame the central bank, how funny. --- Wait, 118% debt ratio? Isn't that just the rhythm of debt spiral? Why hasn't anyone really taken action to solve it? --- Turning crisis into a turning point? Wake up, history tells us it's usually the other way around. --- Liquidity risk is at its maximum, and at this point, those thinking of bottom-fishing the dollar should think twice. --- The independence of the central bank is gone, can the Federal Reserve still be called a central bank? The name might need to be changed. --- I think, don't expect bipartisan reforms; party interests will always come first. --- This round of operations is a textbook-level demonstration of moral hazard.
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RugDocDetectivevip
· 01-05 02:56
1.9 trillion deficit still dares to perform independence, hilarious, this is the true portrayal of modern MMT The issue of the central bank being hijacked, frankly, is politicians deceiving themselves; anyway, the printing press is still running When debt jumps to 118%, we should think about the next move Two parties sitting down to discuss reform? Brother, you're really optimistic. I think they'll just blame each other The independence of the dollar has long been gone; now it's just about who can hold on until the last moment Seeing the deficit number, I think of those iconic moments before a crash The key still lies in liquidity policy; today's certainty is tomorrow's risk This wave is truly a crisis and an opportunity; just watch how the crypto market reacts to see what institutions are thinking The government wouldn't play with fire, after all, even Bitcoin seems safer
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On-ChainDivervip
· 01-05 02:53
Is the independence of the central bank really gone this time? 19 trillion yuan deficit, debt approaching 100% of GDP... I see this as just a political game being played, it's no longer an economic issue.
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degenonymousvip
· 01-05 02:43
Wait, a 1.9 trillion dollar deficit and still so calm? This is basically betting that the central bank will continue to concede. The independence of the central bank is gone, how much is the dollar still worth? With debt-to-GDP approaching 100%, playing political games is really daring. If this wave collapses, global capital allocation will be thrown into chaos, and my HODL will be at risk. Does it seem like the government really hasn't calculated this? Or are they pretending not to have? Unless the two parties can truly reach a consensus on reform, otherwise this tightrope walk will probably break. With liquidity so uncertain, the crypto market should probably start bottoming out first.
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TommyTeacher1vip
· 01-05 02:42
Will the independence of the central bank be gone? Now the US is really playing with fire. Can this logic not be so absurd? Forget about the $1.9 trillion deficit, with debt approaching 100%, and still trying to siphon off the central bank's resources... They really think printing money is free. The key is that these people might really not understand what they are doing, which is even more terrifying than their previous inaction.
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DeadTrades_Walkingvip
· 01-05 02:33
The independence of the central bank has long been eroded to the point where it's almost gone. It's truly a late realization that we're only now starting to discuss it. Speaking of which, a 1.9 trillion deficit really can't be sustained. How crazy would the interest rate hikes have to be to counteract that? The question is, does the Fed now dare to ignore the government? Haha
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