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New Year's Day holiday friends who are watching the market should have the same feeling — Bitcoin has been lying flat in the $87,000 to $88,000 range for a full two weeks, with K-line fluctuations so small that it feels like it’s frozen. This seemingly calm sideways consolidation actually hides the most aggressive chip rotation in nearly half a year: 800,000 Bitcoins have undergone large-scale turnover within a narrow price range, equivalent to a key piece of circulating supply changing hands.
From on-chain data, such a narrow range of turnover at this scale is definitely not something retail investors can create; it must be driven by whales and institutional-level position adjustments. Let’s first clarify the core logic: who is selling, and who is accumulating?
The sellers are clearly identifiable — they are the group that entered driven by FOMO after September 2025. At that time, the market was filled with voices of “breaking through 150,000,” and many investors chased in at high levels of 90,000 or even 100,000 USD, dreaming of riding the wave. But what happened? They got stuck at the top, unable to move. The two months of repeated fluctuations finally exhausted their patience — some chose to cut losses and admit defeat, others escaped with small profits. Data shows that net outflows in the above-100,000 USD range approached 300,000 Bitcoins. Those who once shouted “long-term holding” ultimately couldn’t withstand this round of volatility.
Looking at the accumulating funds, they are not just naive big players, but new capital that has truly recognized the value zone of $87,000 to $88,000. On-chain monitoring data indicates that this group is systematically building positions. Their logic is simple: buy at low levels, wait for the next wave of market movement. This seemingly calm sideways consolidation has actually achieved a significant downward shift in the overall market cost basis. When retail investors’ tears turn into institutional chips, the structure of market participants also changes accordingly.