#数字资产动态追踪 Eight years of trading and saving 36 million: Those who survive rely not on luck



People often ask me how to choose coins and how to make trades. To be honest, there’s no fancy secret—just lessons learned from losing money.

$BNB

When I first got into this industry, I was also a small expert at chasing rallies. As soon as I saw a surge, I jumped in immediately. Result? My principal shrank significantly time and again. Looking back now, those impulsive moments were just paying tuition.

**How to choose coins? I only watch the top gainers.** Coins that have never risen lack activity, and the chances of a comeback are slim. It’s better to focus on trending targets with heat.

As for market watching, I rarely look at short-term K-lines. The focus is on the monthly MACD—enter when a golden cross appears, rest when there’s no signal. Short-term fluctuations are noise; the long-term trend is the real deal. Those betting on oversold rebounds are mostly being played.

**The clear signal for adding positions: watch the 60-day moving average.** When the price retraces near the 70-day moving average and trading volume suddenly spikes, that’s when I decisively add. When the signal is confirmed, I act; if not, I keep waiting.

The easiest mistake after entering the market is greed. Hold steady when the trend is stable; if it breaks a key line, close the position immediately. Many fall into the trap of “waiting for the rebound,” but that turns profits into losses.

**Taking profits should also have rhythm.** Take profit at a 30% increase—sell half; at 50%, sell half again. If you miss it, don’t panic; there are plenty of market opportunities.

The core rule: **If it breaks below the 70-day line, get out.** This is the fundamental reason I’ve survived these 8 years. No matter how long I hold or how reluctant I am, if it breaks the line, I withdraw. Don’t fight the market.

Successful people in the crypto world share one common trait—strictly executing simple discipline. It’s more effective than playing with advanced tricks. Most people are stuck in a vicious cycle, not because they don’t try, but because they haven’t found the right direction. The market is always there; opportunities don’t wait.
BNB1.13%
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WenAirdropvip
· 01-06 18:33
The 70-day moving average hurdle really needs to be respected, or else you're just giving money to the market.
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TheShibaWhisperervip
· 01-06 15:38
If the 70-day moving average breaks, you have to run, and I agree with that. However, with the figure of 36 million... the cost of bragging is still a bit high.
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SmartContractPlumbervip
· 01-04 14:06
Breaking the 70-day moving average means you should run; this discipline is sound. But I have to say—most people's problems are not with the technicals, but with poor contract risk awareness. How many project teams have hidden pitfalls when upgrading contracts? Permission controls are virtually useless, re-entry vulnerabilities are lurking, and once user funds go in, it becomes a cash machine. Instead of just watching candlesticks, learning to audit contract code is the real skill for survival.
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RealYieldWizardvip
· 01-04 14:06
If it breaks the 70-day moving average, I'll sell, and I agree with that. But 36 million? It depends on which bull market the entry was made in.
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Ser_This_Is_A_Casinovip
· 01-04 13:56
Breaking the 70-day moving average and then running away—this iron law has indeed saved me several times. But to be honest, knowing and doing are two different things. --- 36 million sounds like a number, but what's more important is the mindset. Many people just lack discipline by a little, and the whole effort goes to waste. --- I've also tried selecting coins based on the top gainers list; it's definitely more reliable than shooting randomly. The key is to be ruthless in executing stop-losses. --- The most painful thing to hear is "making money turns into losing money." The psychology of a rebound really harms people; I've seen too many cases like that. --- The idea of a monthly MACD golden cross is quite practical; it requires strong mental resilience, or else it's easy to hold onto losing positions.
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StableGeniusvip
· 01-04 13:53
so basically this is just dressed-up moving average worship with survivorship bias sprinkled on top... the "70-day line is gospel" take is empirically speaking exactly the kind of thing that works great until it violently doesn't. mathematically speaking, that's called curve fitting. but sure, let's pretend 8 years of one bull cycle = mastery
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ETH_Maxi_Taxivip
· 01-04 13:50
The 70-day moving average is really a life-and-death line. I was reluctant to sell before and got stuck for two months. Now that the signal appears, I sell immediately. Staying alive is more important than anything.
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