#预测市场发展 The Wolfe interview just wrapped up, and the odds on Polymarket started to change immediately. A 14% probability indicates that the market's confidence in him becoming Federal Reserve Chair is actually quite average, while Haskett's 56% shot skyrocketed—this guy is now a hot favorite.

Interestingly, Wosh's chances dropped directly from being a top contender to 21%, showing that the prediction market reacts quite sensitively and quickly. The probability trends of the three candidates basically reflect how the market views this interview—who performs better in line with Trump's preferences, the odds tend to favor that person.

Based on topics like the labor market and job stimulation, the focus of this interview remains on economic policy. Although the details are limited, the changes in the prediction market offer some clues. The prediction mechanisms loved by the crypto community essentially quantify market sentiment, making for some interesting data references.