#数字资产动态追踪 Ethereum's recent market movement is quite interesting. On the 1-hour candlestick chart, the price is stubbornly stuck around 3050-3055. It clearly spikes up and then drops again. The previous logic that bullish momentum would reach 3050 has been validated. Now is the time to turn around.

There are a few details worth noting in the market. First, the price has repeatedly formed long upper shadows near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that selling pressure above is gradually appearing; second, the MACD fast and slow lines have already flattened above the zero line, with the red histogram shrinking, showing that the upward momentum is weakening; third, during the price surge, the volume did not increase correspondingly, indicating a divergence between price and volume.

The technical conclusion is clear: this rebound, which started from 2950, has lost momentum at the key resistance zone of 3050-3060. The short-term energy is nearly exhausted. The market needs a significant pullback to gather strength for the next move.

Trading suggestion: short-term contrarian trading, enter short positions in the 3048-3055 range. Place stop-loss above 3065, about 30 points of space. The first target is 3020, and the second target is the 3000 level.

Why go against the trend here? Because 3050-3060 is a convergence of multiple previous highs and lows, forming a clear technical resistance. Shorting here with a 30-point stop-loss for a target of 50-80 points offers a risk-reward ratio of over 2:1, making it worthwhile. Additionally, after a continuous rally, signs of stalling have appeared, and the probability of a short-term correction is indeed higher than that of a further breakout.

To clarify—this is not a macro bearish outlook, but a short-term correction trade targeting this rebound. So, position size should be light, and stop-losses tight. If the price aggressively breaks through 3065, it means I was wrong; I will cut losses immediately and wait for the next opportunity. The market is changing, and our strategy must adapt accordingly. This trade is about capturing the profit from the pullback.