#央行降息行动 Seeing the analysis about Japan's interest rate hikes and Bitcoin resistance levels, I am reminded that many friends have been discussing market volatility lately. Honestly, the underlying message of such information reflects an important phenomenon—when central bank policies change frequently, market sentiment can be easily influenced.

The two bullish premises mentioned by Ban Mu Xia are worth considering: Federal Reserve balance sheet expansion and technical patterns. But I want to emphasize that these are only short-term trading references and should not be the core basis for our asset allocation. The strong resistance level of $112,500, and the key range of $98,600-$107,000—these data are indeed professional, but if we focus solely on breaking resistance levels, we often overlook a fundamental question: Is our position size in these assets reasonable?

My observation is that moments of "greater market complexity" are precisely good opportunities to review our asset structure. Central bank policies, technical analysis, market sentiment—all are changing, but there are only two things we can control: clearly understanding the volatility we can tolerate, and maintaining the rhythm of long-term allocation. Rate hikes will be fully priced in, resistance levels will be broken, but a steady mindset and reasonable position management will never go out of style.

Rather than tracking every key level, ask yourself: if this investment drops 50%, can I still hold it calmly? The answer will directly tell you how much to allocate.