2026-01-02 03:30:35

#美联储回购协议计划 Recently, the market has experienced another wave of rally, but this time I didn't chase the high. Instead, I gradually positioned myself for short positions at this level.

$BTC Against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement expectations heating up, the short-term rebound is indeed quite strong, but the fundamental pressures have not been alleviated. $ETH 's movement is more of a follow-the-leader type of rise, lacking independent logical support. Although $BNB 's ecosystem is active, in a cycle where overall risk appetite is declining, it is very easy to become a first-drop asset.

The key is the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement movements—if liquidity expectations reverse, this rally could turn into a trap for entering positions. Historically, every rebound at the critical point of easing policies has been the best time for bears to build positions. So when I saw it at a high level this time, I went short directly. Manage risk well and wait for a reversal signal.

BTC1.19%

ETH1.15%

BNB0.34%

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StableBoi

· 19m ago

Hey buddy, I didn't chase this rebound either. It looks too much like a trap. History has shown us that every time, high-level rebounds are often the final harvest. I'm not afraid of shorting, I'm just afraid of greedily catching the falling knife. Let's wait and see if we can bottom fish.

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0xSunnyDay

· 2h ago

Hmm... It's that same logic of shorting on a rebound, I've heard it so many times. Can it really reverse this time? Everyone who shorts claims they understand it, but then they get caught again. History may repeat itself, but the odds are different, brother.

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TestnetFreeloader

· 2h ago

Haha, really, this rebound has given me a warning signal. Old brother, your thinking is on point. Chasing highs always makes you a leek. I've seen the Federal Reserve's tricks many times. The argument that BNB will first fall is invalid. An active ecosystem can't withstand the market sell-off. Waiting for reversal signals is the true logic for making money. Not following the trend means winning half the battle. Be cautious when shorting, and don't let buyback agreements hit you from the reverse side.

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ETH_Maxi_Taxi

· 2h ago

Hmm... It's the same old story, history repeating itself, those who understand will understand. Let's talk about the market. Where's the problem? Liquidity reverses and it's game over. Short positions at high levels are really the safest way to play. Let's wait for the reversal. What is meant to come will come eventually.

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unrekt.eth

· 2h ago

Hey, I just want to ask, can this rebound really hold up? It feels like it's all supported by Federal Reserve expectations. I've already entered short positions, just waiting for liquidity to reverse. BTC is rising like this, but I haven't moved; I don't trust a rally without fundamental support. ETH is following the trend so closely it's almost sickening; even with a more active ecosystem, someone has to take the other side. I'm betting this is a trap; isn't that how history always goes?

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DAOdreamer

· 2h ago

It's the same old story again, always saying it's a trap, and what then? How many times have you heard "wait for the reversal signal"... This wave of BTC really doesn't have much logic, purely supported by expectations, I approve. High-level short positions sound intimidating, but who knows the Federal Reserve's true intentions? Don't be too gambling-minded. ETH following the trend has its flaws, just waiting to be chopped up by the whales. History will repeat itself, but this time it might not. Proper risk management is the key. Why is this prediction so confident? Aren't you afraid of being proven wrong? To be honest, during the early stage of easing, a rebound should have been taken profit; greed can lead to trouble.

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LostBetweenChains

· 2h ago

Haha, a typical pump-and-dump market, this rebound is just digging a trap. Short positions stay steady, and as soon as a reversal signal appears, it can take off. BTC can't hold its ground at high levels, and ETH is even more of a follower. Not chasing highs is correct; those who chase highs should prepare to be cut. The moment liquidity reverses is the time to harvest; history always repeats itself. This old guy's thinking isn't wrong; wait for the Federal Reserve to give a hint, then prepare to cut. The rebound at the critical point of loose policies is indeed a paradise for bears; I've seen it too many times. Controlling risk is well said; no matter how tempting short positions are, never go all-in.

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