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The market always bottoms out in fear and reverses in euphoria.
Last night, a message exploded in major crypto communities: the Federal Reserve has injected funds again. Watching some start to hype a bull market, but calmly thinking—are these $6.8 billion really a gift to the crypto market? To be honest, overthinking it.
What is the essence of this money? It’s just the Fed’s year-end "revolving fund." To give financial institutions comfortable liquidity for the holidays. The specific operation is achieved through repurchase agreements, where financial institutions pledge government bonds to exchange for cash, which they must repay in a day or two. This is not quantitative easing, not money printing, and certainly not a sign of a policy reversal.
However, ETH is now at a critical level of $3,050, staging a battle between bulls and bears. The outcome of this fight will directly determine how the year-end market concludes.
**The Logic Behind Liquidity Operations**
Over the past ten days, the Fed has injected approximately $38 billion. At first glance, that seems like a big move. But in reality, this is the standard routine for year-end liquidity management. To draw an analogy: you need to pay off your credit card at year-end, temporarily pledge your phone to a friend for some cash, then buy it back after your paycheck arrives—that’s it.
Honestly, this operation does have some influence on market sentiment. When dollar liquidity expectations improve, risk assets often get short-term support. Historical data from the crypto market also confirms this—excess liquidity tends to flow into higher-risk asset pools.
But don’t get too excited too early. In the face of the enormous size of the global financial market, this $6.8 billion has limited energy. Looking at this alone, it’s unlikely to sustain independent support for crypto asset prices. What’s truly worth paying attention to is the broader macro background: if we interpret this as part of the roughly $38 billion liquidity operations over the past ten days, then the signal becomes interesting.