2025-12-26 08:25:57

Seeing someone ask me why I didn't buy gold, my answer is straightforward: the returns are not attractive enough.

You can see this by comparing the data. From 2023 to 2024, gold's annualized return is actually not as good as the US stock market. This reflects an important investment principle—when choosing products, you can't just look at how much they've increased this year; you need to look further back.

My approach is this: any investment decision should consider the performance over the past 5 or even 10 years. Why? Because historical data can help you predict the general trend of the future. If a product has maintained good growth over the past 10 years, it’s likely that the next year won't be too bad. Conversely, if something suddenly skyrocketed this year, chasing it is basically betting that it will continue to rise, which is pure speculation.

Gold's long-term performance has always been mediocre overall. Although it surged this year, that is precisely a risk signal—easy to get caught in a trap. My investment strategy is very clear: prioritize stable returns by choosing US stocks, then allocate a portion to BTC as a portfolio adjustment. Focusing too much on gold is actually a bit of a misplacement.

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CodeZeroBasis

· 6h ago

Buying high in gold will definitely lead to losses; the long-term logic still favors the US stock market.

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NewDAOdreamer

· 6h ago

Betting on this year's market performance is less reliable than looking at the 10-year trend, and this guy's point makes sense. --- The recent surge in gold is just a trap; long-term returns are indeed disappointing. --- Pairing US stocks with some BTC is the real strategy; sticking solely to gold is really outdated. --- Looking at long-term data makes investing much more enjoyable, no need to chase hot trends every day. --- Agree, things that surge dramatically this year are often signals of the last buyers. --- When gold rises, some can't help but chase, only to get trapped until next year. --- From a 10-year perspective, US stocks are definitely strong, gold is just so-so.

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FrontRunFighter

· 6h ago

ngl this is just frontrunning the retail gold fomo... dude's right about the 10yr lookback, that's how you spot the manipulation patterns before they trap you

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TokenUnlocker

· 6h ago

That's right, chasing highs in gold is a gambler's mentality. BTC allocation is indeed attractive; earning stable returns in the US stock market is the real way to go. Historical data doesn't lie; only over the long term can you see clearly. Gold is a bit risky now, easy to get caught in a trap. I agree with this approach; only by not following the crowd can you survive longer. US stocks, US stocks, holding long-term is the hard truth.

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HypotheticalLiquidator

· 6h ago

Gold's sharp rise this year is a signal that the liquidation price is approaching... Historical data can't be fooled; long-term yields are unrealistically flat, and this is a risk control warning light. Those chasing the highs all get trapped, with no exceptions.

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