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Sharing some insights with friends who just entered the market—these are lessons learned through my own detours and slow exploration in the行情. I can't promise to make you rich overnight, but at least I can help you pay less tuition.
**Opportunities in Strong Coins**
When a strong coin drops from a high level and undergoes continuous adjustment for a period, many think it's bad news. Actually, it's not. The real opportunities often surface during moments when market sentiment cools down. When everyone is watching and hesitating, it's often the perfect time for a new trend to take shape.
**Timing of Reducing Positions Is Critical**
No matter what coin it is, once it has risen for two consecutive days, you should proactively consider reducing your holdings. This isn't about being bearish; it's about managing risk first. Putting profits into your pocket is more important than anything else. No matter how good the market cap is, if your account has no buffer during a pullback, it's all pointless.
**How to View After a Single-Day Surge**
If a coin jumps more than 7% in a single day, there's usually inertia to push higher the next day. At this point, there's no need to rush in chasing it, nor to sell immediately. The key is to observe whether the volume supports the move and if there are buyers at the order book. A rise on weak volume is less credible.
**Strong Coins Will Always Present Opportunities**
Truly bullish coins will inevitably experience pullbacks. Many people can't wait for this correction and end up becoming others' catchers. Nobody likes to be a sitting duck. Instead of that, it's better to be patient, wait for the coin to establish space, and then enter.
**What Does Minimal Volatility Mean?**
If a coin's price fluctuates very little over several days, it indicates that the market funds are hesitant and haven't decided which way to go. Watch for a while longer; if there's still no clear direction, consider switching to another asset. There's no need to fight against time—market opportunities are abundant.
**Quick Losses Require Fast Acceptance**
If the next day after entering the market, your price hasn't even approached your cost basis, it's a signal—your judgment might be flawed. Don't gamble; exit promptly to respect your capital. Cutting losses is painful, but keeping the green mountains means you'll have firewood for the future.
**Progression Pattern of Short-Term Sentiment**
Short-term gains often follow a rhythm: first a 30% rise, then 50%, and finally 70% to reach a peak. A coin that rises for two days still has room for low-cost entries, but if it has already gone five days, it's time to consider taking profits. Greed at this stage can easily trap you.
**Volume-Price Relationship Comes First**
A volume breakout at low levels warrants close attention, as such breakouts often have momentum. But if volume surges at high levels without further price movement, it's a warning sign—it's time to exit decisively. Market language never lies; it's up to you whether you learn to interpret it.
**Trend Judgment Using These Three Lines**
For short-term trends, look at whether the 3-day moving average is turning upward. For medium-term, the 30-day moving average must be rising to be effective. If you want to catch the main upward wave, wait until both the 80-day and 120-day moving averages are rising; only then is the long-term trend truly established. This way, you can focus on rising coins rather than bouncing around in falling ones.
**Small Funds Can Also Win Big**
Some say small funds have no chance, but I disagree. How far you can go isn't determined by your capital size. What truly matters is: whether your method is clear enough, your mindset stable enough, your execution disciplined enough, and whether you have enough patience to wait for your own opportunity. Many with large capital lose money, while small funds can double their holdings.
**Final Words**
There are indeed many opportunities in the crypto market, but risks are equally huge. Those who can go far in this market are never relying on luck. They succeed by constantly reviewing, correcting their mistakes, and growing little by little. Most people aren't lazy—they're just blindly stumbling in the dark, unaware of the right direction. The market keeps fluctuating, but you need to find your own path.