Mark January 14: Bank of America's Q4 Earnings and Bitcoin ETF Milestone

The Setup - Historic Recovery and New Opportunities

For the first time in nearly two decades, Bank of America’s stock price hit $55 on December 12, 2025 — a peak not seen since November 2006. This milestone represents a complete turnaround from the bank’s devastating losses during the 2008-09 financial crisis. The stock has now climbed for eight consecutive months throughout 2025, delivering a 27% return year-to-date.

The momentum behind this recovery is real. In Q3 2025, the bank posted a net gain of $8.5 billion — a 23% increase compared to the same quarter in 2024. Most notably, investment banking fees surged 43%, driven by transactions involving corporate clients, institutional investors, and high net worth individuals.

January 14: Mark Your Calendar

All eyes will be on Bank of America when it reports Q4 2025 earnings after market close on January 14, 2026. CEO Brian Moynihan has signaled optimism, projecting the bank’s market business revenue could climb as much as 10% during the quarter. The company is also executing aggressive stock buybacks, another signal of confidence.

Several tailwinds could bolster Q4 results. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points on December 12 — the third consecutive reduction. These cuts typically translate into higher demand for bank products as commercial rates adjust. Additionally, the bank initiated stock repurchases to support shareholder value.

The Bitcoin Play

More intriguingly, Bank of America is launching Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for its wealth management clients starting January 4, 2026 — just 10 days before earnings. This debut signals a major shift in how the bank positions digital assets to affluent clients.

The bank’s chief investment officer suggested earlier this December that a “modest allocation of 1% to 4% in digital assets could be appropriate” for portfolio diversification. With Bitcoin currently trading around $89,000, the timing of this ETF rollout could amplify interest among Bank of America’s client base.

The available Bitcoin ETF options include offerings from Bitwise, Fidelity (Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund), Grayscale (Bitcoin Mini Trust), and BlackRock (iShares Bitcoin Trust) — signaling broad institutional acceptance of digital asset exposure.

Trading Around the Announcement

The days leading up to January 14 may prove volatile. Pre-earnings trading typically sees increased price swings, and the holiday season traditionally brings lower trading volumes. Investors eyeing Bank of America shares may want to hold off until after the Q4 results are public before making moves, as clarity on actual results often provides better entry points than speculation.

The convergence of a major earnings report, Bitcoin ETF availability, and continuing interest rate dynamics makes mid-January a critical moment for the bank and its shareholders.