I recently organized some data and discovered a few interesting phenomena:



**ETF Portfolio Changes**
Bitcoin spot ETFs have experienced net outflows for a consecutive week, with no new capital entering the market. This signal is not very optimistic and reflects cautiousness among institutional investors.

**Exchange Premium Structure Reversal**
The Bitcoin premium index on a major compliant platform has recently maintained a negative range for 11 consecutive days, currently at -0.0689%. Negative premium indicates that the platform's price is below the global market average, which usually implies several signals: strong selling pressure in the US market, declining risk appetite among investors, increasing safe-haven sentiment, and possible capital outflows.

**But here’s the interesting part**
Although these indicators point to pessimism, Bitcoin's price has not experienced a significant plunge this week. Normally, such signals should trigger a larger decline, but the market reaction has been quite muted — it seems really unable to fall further.

My judgment is that sideways consolidation may continue for a few more weeks, followed by a likely rebound. Of course, this is just an inference based on current data and for reference only.

A reminder: investing always involves risks. Think carefully before making any decisions, and don’t let emotions dominate. The final decision is in your hands.
BTC-0.13%
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TommyTeacher1vip
· 3h ago
I can't believe it's not falling anymore. I trust this, what are the institutions waiting for? Let's wait for a rebound.
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MetaNomadvip
· 3h ago
Is it true that it can't go down? It feels like someone is calling for a bottom again these days. --- Negative premium for 11 days without a rebound—are they holding a big move or does nobody want it? --- Sideways for weeks, expecting a rebound? It looks to me like waiting for the next needle to prick down. --- Institutions are flowing out while retail investors are still buying in. I know this routine too well. --- The most frightening thing is this kind of "seems unmovable" market, which often deceives the most. --- Data says the pessimistic market is very calm, so should I trust the data or the market? --- Rebound? First, ask whether the Federal Reserve agrees or not.
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rug_connoisseurvip
· 3h ago
It's truly a good sign that it can't fall further; the bottom is forming.
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LiquidatedThricevip
· 3h ago
If it can't fall further, it indicates the bottom has formed. Waiting for a rebound?
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BlockchainRetirementHomevip
· 3h ago
It's true that it can't fall any further. The institutions are really waiting for something this time. It feels like the bottom consensus isn't that easy to establish.
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InfraVibesvip
· 3h ago
What does it mean when it can't go down? The bottom consensus has already formed, just waiting for the moment of rebound.
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