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Btw, @Grayscale's 2026 Digital Asset Outlook landed, and it's quite a bullish institutional take.
The thesis:
The four-year cycle is dead (the theory that crypto markets follow recurring boom-bust patterns tied to Bitcoin halvings).
What's replacing it? Steady institutional accumulation that will push Bitcoin to new all-time highs in the first half of 2026.
Two forces are colliding to make this happen:
1️⃣ Dollar Debasement Risk (Macro Push)
US debt spiraling toward 100%+ of GDP is eroding confidence in fiat currencies. Investors are turning to programmatically scarce assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum as alternative stores of value, digital gold for an era of dollar debasement risk.
2️⃣ Regulatory Breakthrough (Institutional Pull)
The GENIUS Act legitimized stablecoins in 2025. Now, bipartisan crypto market structure legislation is expected to pass in 2026, providing the regulatory clarity that brings blockchain-based finance fully into US capital markets.
The opportunity most are missing:
Despite $87B in crypto ETP inflows since January 2024, less than 0.5% of US advised wealth has touched digital assets. Harvard and Abu Dhabi are already in. Most institutional capital is still doing due diligence.
The shift isn't retail FOMO, it's pension funds, endowments, and wealth advisors slowly building positions.
Welcome to the institutional era.